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KNVB Beker
Referee: R Dieperink
Cambuur
T S S S S
3–1
Full-time
Vitesse
U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cambuur Vitesse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
4,3
1,3
Scored
2,7
0,5
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — KNVB Beker · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
5,0
1,0
Scored
3,7
1,0
Conceded
1,3
0,0
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
15 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 4
2 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cambuur 5. · Vitesse 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Nijmegen 4 4 0 0 +11 12
2 Hercules 5 3 1 1 +5 10
3 Quick Boys 4 3 1 0 +4 10
4 RKAV Volendam 4 3 0 1 +9 9
5 Cambuur 3 3 0 0 +7 9
6 Groningen 3 3 0 0 +5 9
7 DEM 4 3 0 1 +4 9
8 For Sittard 3 3 0 0 +4 9
9 Vitesse 3 3 0 0 +3 9
10 Den Haag 4 3 0 1 +1 9
11 Excelsior Maassluis 4 2 1 1 +1 7
12 Go Ahead Eagles 3 2 0 1 +8 6
13 Almere City 3 2 0 1 +7 6
14 Groene Ster 3 2 0 1 +6 6
15 Sparta Nijkerk 3 2 0 1 +3 6
16 Spakenburg 3 2 0 1 +2 6
17 Hoogeveen 3 2 0 1 +2 6
18 Feyenoord 2 2 0 0 +2 6
19 Eemdijk 3 2 0 1 +1 6
20 Ijsselmeervogels 3 2 0 1 +1 6
21 AFC Amsterdam 3 2 0 1 +1 6
22 De Treffers 3 2 0 1 +0 6
23 Excelsior 3 2 0 1 +0 6
24 OJC Rosmalen 3 2 0 1 -1 6
25 UNA 3 2 0 1 -1 6
26 GVVV Veenendaal 3 2 0 1 -1 6
27 Gemert 2 1 1 0 +2 4
28 RKSV Nuenen 2 1 1 0 +2 4
29 AZ Alkmaar 2 1 1 0 +1 4
30 SVV Scheveningen 2 1 1 0 +1 4
31 SJC Noordwijk 3 1 1 1 -1 4
32 TEC 3 1 1 1 -3 4
33 Kloetinge 2 1 0 1 +4 3
34 Katwijk 2 1 0 1 +4 3
35 Heerenveen 2 1 0 1 +3 3
36 VV Scherpenzeel 2 1 0 1 +3 3
37 Blauw Geel 2 1 0 1 +3 3
38 GVV Unitas 2 1 0 1 +2 3
39 HHC 2 1 0 1 +1 3
40 PSV Eindhoven 2 1 0 1 +1 3
41 Meerssen 2 1 0 1 +1 3
42 Noordwijk 2 1 0 1 +1 3
43 Harkemase Boys 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 Willem II 2 1 0 1 +0 3
45 Utrecht 2 1 0 1 +0 3
46 Hoek 2 1 0 1 +0 3
47 Sportlust '46 2 1 0 1 +0 3
48 Sparta Rotterdam 2 1 0 1 +0 3
49 De Graafschap 2 1 0 1 +0 3
50 Koninklijke HFC 2 1 0 1 -1 3
51 Dordrecht 2 1 0 1 -1 3
52 Westlandia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
53 HVCH 2 1 0 1 -1 3
54 FC Lisse 2 1 0 1 -1 3
55 Csv Apeldoorn 2 1 0 1 -1 3
56 Olde Veste '54 2 1 0 1 -1 3
57 FC Eindhoven 2 1 0 1 -1 3
58 DVS 33 Ermelo 2 1 0 1 -1 3
59 Barendrecht 2 1 0 1 -2 3
60 Staphorst 2 1 0 1 -2 3
61 Rijnvogels 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Dovo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Vvsb 2 0 1 1 -1 1
64 Hsc 21 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Waalwijk 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Ajax 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 SteDoCo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Den Bosch 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 SC Genemuiden 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Berkum 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 TOGB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Bon Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 AWC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 AGB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Veensche Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Kozakken Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 ADO '20 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 URK 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 NAC Breda 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Zwolle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Telstar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Baronie 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 XerxesDZB (Zat) 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Volendam 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 FC OSS 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Rijnsburgse Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 HSV ODIN 59 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Roda 1 0 0 1 -2 0
89 Jubbega 1 0 0 1 -2 0
90 Chevremont 1 0 0 1 -2 0
91 Kampong 1 0 0 1 -2 0
92 Twente 1 0 0 1 -2 0
93 Helmond Sport 1 0 0 1 -2 0
94 HV & CV Quick 1 0 0 1 -2 0
95 FC Emmen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
96 ONS Sneek 1 0 0 1 -2 0
97 Heracles 1 0 0 1 -2 0
98 Nieuwkoop 1 0 0 1 -2 0
99 Purmersteijn 1 0 0 1 -2 0
100 MVV 1 0 0 1 -3 0
101 Avanti '31 1 0 0 1 -3 0
102 VVV Venlo 1 0 0 1 -4 0
103 OSS '20 1 0 0 1 -4 0
104 ACV 1 0 0 1 -4 0
105 SVOD '22 1 0 0 1 -4 0
106 Zwaluw VFC 1 0 0 1 -4 0
107 Blauw Wit '34 1 0 0 1 -4 0
108 Bunde 1 0 0 1 -5 0
109 Groen Wit '62 1 0 0 1 -6 0
110 BOL 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cambuur Vitesse
1–0 M. Smit
F. de Jong
35′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 A. Boutrah
↦ A. Mazilu
59′
🟨 Dominik Oroz
R. Uldriķis 🔁
↦ R. Balk
68′
70′
🔁 T. Buitink
↦ D. Oroz
74′
🟨 Ramon Hendriks
78′
🔁 G. de Regt
↦ K. Kozłowski
79′
A. Hadj-Moussa 1–1
A. Boutrah
2–1 F. de Jong
T. Poll
81′
Milan Smit ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
85′
3–1 M. Smit
88′
89′
🟨 Anis Hadj Moussa
V. Wormgoor 🔁
↦ D. van Kaam
89′
T. Mercera 🔁
↦ J. van der Meer
93′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Cambuur

4-2-3-1
1 Y. van Osch G
22 J. van der Meer D
15 M. Tol D
3 F. Smand D
5 T. Poll D
10 F. de Jong M
6 J. van Mullem M
14 M. Breij M
8 D. van Kaam M
7 R. Balk M
19 M. Smit F
Bench (12)
9 R. Uldriķis
17 V. Wormgoor
42 T. Mercera
20 V. Pichel
40 M. Nartey
25 S. Ottesen
21 M. de Koe
16 D. Reiziger
23 B. Minnema
33 C. Anyasi
49 W. Kooistra
4 L. Bergsma

Coach: H. de Jong

Vitesse

4-2-3-1
31 M. Schubert G
2 C. Arcus D
6 D. Oroz D
15 R. Hendriks D
5 M. Pinto D
22 T. Domgjoni M
13 E. Cornelisse M
28 A. Hadj-Moussa M
30 A. Mazilu M
35 M. Meerdink M
17 K. Kozłowski F
Bench (10)
7 A. Boutrah
19 T. Buitink
25 G. de Regt
9 J. Voelkerling Persson
43 G. van Zwam
58 A. Visser
29 N. Isimat-Mirin
55 T. Bramel
1 E. Room
23 D. Huisman

Coach: E. Sturing

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Dieperink · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.