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Eredivisie
Referee: E van de Graaf
Vitesse
T T S U T
1–0
Full-time
Cambuur
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse Cambuur
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-1,2
This season — Eredivisie · 23/28 matches
Win Ø 42%
48%
36%
Points per game
1,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
65%
75%
Both score Ø 62%
52%
71%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
1,7
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%
31 Shots 4
14 Shots on target 0
6 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 13
8 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vitesse 9. · Cambuur 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 29 23 3 3 +70 72
2 PSV Eindhoven 28 21 2 5 +37 65
3 Feyenoord 28 18 4 6 +36 58
4 Twente 29 17 7 5 +13 58
5 AZ Alkmaar 25 15 3 7 +18 48
6 Utrecht 27 11 8 8 +9 41
7 Groningen 29 9 9 11 -6 36
8 Go Ahead Eagles 29 10 6 13 -8 36
9 Vitesse 23 11 3 9 -8 36
10 Nijmegen 29 9 8 12 -11 35
11 Heerenveen 28 9 7 12 -8 34
12 Cambuur 28 10 3 15 -16 33
13 Heracles 28 8 6 14 -8 30
14 Waalwijk 28 6 10 12 -13 28
15 Willem II 29 6 5 18 -29 23
16 For Sittard 28 6 5 17 -34 23
17 Sparta Rotterdam 27 4 10 13 -19 22
18 Zwolle 28 5 5 18 -23 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vitesse Cambuur
Loïs Openda ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
4′
1–0 L. Openda
M. Bero
42′
Half-time 1–0
M. Schubert 🔁
↦ J. Houwen
46′
Jacob Rasmussen 🟨
47′
47′
🟨 Issa Kallon
P. Vroegh 🔁
↦ D. Huisman
70′
77′
🔁 M. Smit
↦ J. ter Heide
80′
🔁 N. Doodeman
↦ P. Joosten
T. Hájek 🔁
↦ M. Manhoef
86′
A. Grbić 🔁
↦ L. Openda
86′
T. Domgjoni 🔁
↦ T. Buitink
86′
86′
🔁 T. Kiss
↦ C. Mac-Intosch
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Vitesse

3-5-2
24 J. Houwen G
2 E. Dasa M
6 J. Rasmussen D
3 D. Doekhi D
42 M. Manhoef M
21 M. Bero M
10 R. Bazoer D
8 S. Tronstad M
40 D. Huisman M
7 L. Openda F
29 T. Buitink F
Bench (9)
1 M. Schubert
36 P. Vroegh
18 T. Hájek
9 A. Grbić
22 T. Domgjoni
33 D. Reiziger
27 R. Yapi
39 E. Cornelisse
53 S. van Duivenbooden

Coach: T. Letsch

Cambuur

4-3-3
12 P. Bos G
3 C. Mac-Intosch D
4 E. Schouten D
15 M. Tol D
16 A. Bangura D
10 M. Paulissen M
8 J. Jacobs M
2 J. ter Heide M
7 I. Kallon F
28 R. Uldriķis F
11 P. Joosten F
Bench (7)
49 M. Smit
17 N. Doodeman
21 T. Kiss
31 B. Minnema
36 R. van Mameren
44 T. Renkel
5 D. Schmidt

Coach: D. Haar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,53
U
4,40
B
5,75
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,57
U2,5 ✓
2,38
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

E van de Graaf · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.