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Eredivisie
Referee: L Gerrets
Zwolle
S T U U U
1–0
Full-time
Vitesse
T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Vitesse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
4,0
2,0
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 23%
28%
17%
Points per game
1,1
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
72%
56%
Both score Ø 56%
67%
44%
Average goals
3,3
2,9
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
1,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,67 xG 0,51
44% Possession 56%
16 Shots 8
9 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 4
10 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zwolle 10. · Vitesse 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 18 17 1 0 +52 +40.3 52
2 Feyenoord 18 13 3 2 +35 +36.8 42
3 Twente 18 11 4 3 +15 +11.9 37
4 AZ Alkmaar 18 10 4 4 +20 +12.4 34
5 Ajax 18 9 4 5 +9 +5.9 31
6 Go Ahead Eagles 17 7 4 6 +4 -7.2 25
7 Sparta Rotterdam 18 7 4 7 +0 -6.0 25
8 Nijmegen 17 6 6 5 +4 -12.4 24
9 Excelsior 18 4 8 6 -4 -8.5 20
10 Zwolle 18 5 5 8 -5 -6.7 20
11 Heerenveen 18 6 2 10 -9 -3.9 20
12 For Sittard 18 5 5 8 -13 -1.0 20
13 Almere City 18 5 5 8 -15 -6.9 20
14 Utrecht 18 4 7 7 -9 -10.1 19
15 Heracles 18 5 4 9 -18 -10.4 19
16 Waalwijk 18 4 2 12 -17 -5.3 14
17 Volendam 18 3 3 12 -23 -13.6 12
18 Vitesse 18 3 3 12 -26 -15.3 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zwolle Vitesse
1–0 E. Reijnders
Y. Namli
16′
18′
🟨 Ramon Hendriks
23′
🔁 T. Domgjoni
↦ M. Meulensteen
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Tielemans
↦ D. Pröpper
57′
🟨 Dominik Oroz
Nick Fichtinger 🟨
59′
64′
🔁 G. de Regt
↦ A. Visser
64′
🔁 T. Buitink
↦ M. Tielemans
Anselmo Garcia McNulty 🟨
71′
A. El Azzouzi 🔁
↦ N. Fichtinger
77′
A. Vellios 🔁
↦ Y. Namli
77′
83′
🔁 C. Arcus
↦ D. Oroz
86′
🔁 A. Mazilu
↦ R. Hendriks
Bram van Polen 🟨
89′
D. van der Haar 🔁
↦ O. Velanas
97′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Zwolle

4-2-3-1
1 J. Schendelaar G
2 B. van Polen D
4 S. Kersten D
13 T. Lam D
15 A. MacNulty D
34 N. Fichtinger M
11 D. van den Berg M
7 Y. Namli M
18 O. Velanas M
23 E. Reijnders M
9 L. Thy F
Bench (10)
6 A. El Azzouzi
14 A. Vellios
33 D. van der Haar
25 K. Vermeer
37 M. Oukhattou
38 T. Gijselhart
20 L. Czyborra
40 M. Hauptmeijer
8 D. Huiberts
16 D. Bobson

Coach: J. Jansen

Vitesse

4-2-3-1
1 E. Room G
6 D. Oroz D
29 N. Isimat-Mirin D
15 R. Hendriks D
13 E. Cornelisse D
24 D. Pröpper M
20 M. Meulensteen M
42 M. Manhoef M
8 M. van Ginkel M
7 A. Boutrah M
58 A. Visser F
Bench (11)
22 T. Domgjoni
21 M. Tielemans
25 G. de Regt
19 T. Buitink
2 C. Arcus
30 A. Mazilu
43 G. van Zwam
55 T. Bramel
9 J. Voelkerling Persson
31 M. Schubert
5 M. Pinto

Coach: E. Sturing

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,97
U
3,72
B
3,60
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,68
U2,5 ✓
2,17
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Gerrets · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.