Eredivisie
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Zwolle
Vitesse
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 | +52 | +40.3 | 52 |
| 2 |
Feyenoord
|
18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | +35 | +36.8 | 42 |
| 3 |
Twente
|
18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | +15 | +11.9 | 37 |
| 4 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | +20 | +12.4 | 34 |
| 5 |
Ajax
|
18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | +9 | +5.9 | 31 |
| 6 |
Go Ahead Eagles
|
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | +4 | -7.2 | 25 |
| 7 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | +0 | -6.0 | 25 |
| 8 |
Nijmegen
|
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | +4 | -12.4 | 24 |
| 9 |
Excelsior
|
18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | -4 | -8.5 | 20 |
| 10 |
Zwolle
|
18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | -5 | -6.7 | 20 |
| 11 |
Heerenveen
|
18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -9 | -3.9 | 20 |
| 12 |
For Sittard
|
18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | -13 | -1.0 | 20 |
| 13 |
Almere City
|
18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | -15 | -6.9 | 20 |
| 14 |
Utrecht
|
18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | -9 | -10.1 | 19 |
| 15 |
Heracles
|
18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -18 | -10.4 | 19 |
| 16 |
Waalwijk
|
18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | -17 | -5.3 | 14 |
| 17 |
Volendam
|
18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | -23 | -13.6 | 12 |
| 18 |
Vitesse
|
18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | -26 | -15.3 | 12 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
J. Schendelaar
G
S. Kersten
D
A. MacNulty
D
N. Fichtinger
M
D. van den Berg
M
O. Velanas
M
Coach: J. Jansen
R. Hendriks
D
M. Meulensteen
M
M. Manhoef
M
Coach: E. Sturing
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
AZ Alkmaar
Zwolle
Zwolle
Heerenveen
Ajax
Zwolle
Zwolle
Nijmegen
Volendam
Zwolle
L Gerrets · 17 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.