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KNVB Beker

Referee: J Manschot

Sparta Rotterdam

T T U S S

5–2

Full-time

Groningen

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Groningen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,0

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

51% Possession 49%

18 Shots 16

10 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 5

0 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 7

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hsc 21	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Hoogeveen	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	Hoek	3	3	0	0	+4	9
4	SC Genemuiden	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Excelsior Maassluis	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	Eemdijk	2	2	0	0	+5	6
7	Dovo	2	2	0	0	+5	6
8	Sportlust '46	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	ROHDA Raalte	2	2	0	0	+4	6
10	GVVV Veenendaal	2	2	0	0	+3	6
11	Halsteren	3	2	0	1	+2	6
12	Capelle	3	2	0	1	+1	6
13	Gemert	3	2	0	1	+1	6
14	Sparta Nijkerk	3	2	0	1	+0	6
15	FC Lisse	3	2	0	1	-1	6
16	Telstar	1	1	0	0	+5	3
17	Roda	1	1	0	0	+4	3
18	Kozakken Boys	2	1	0	1	+3	3
19	De Treffers	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
23	Excelsior '31	2	1	0	1	+2	3
24	Kloetinge	2	1	0	1	+2	3
25	Hercules	2	1	0	1	+2	3
26	Koninklijke HFC	2	1	0	1	+2	3
27	Spakenburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Almere City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	FC OSS	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	ASWH	2	1	0	1	+1	3
31	Waalwijk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	UDI '19	2	1	0	1	+1	3
33	Barendrecht	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Roosendaal	2	1	0	1	+1	3
36	Volendam	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
38	Meerssen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
39	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	't Zand	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	TEC	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Noordwijk	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	HHC	2	1	0	1	+0	3
44	HZVV	2	1	0	1	-2	3
45	SVV Scheveningen	2	1	0	1	-2	3
46	URK	2	1	0	1	-2	3
47	ARC	2	1	0	1	-4	3
48	Groene Ster	2	0	2	0	+0	2
49	Den Bosch	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Den Haag	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Heino	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	De Foresters	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Katwijk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	VVOG	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	VV Scherpenzeel	2	0	1	1	-1	1
57	Blauw Geel	2	0	1	1	-1	1
58	Cambuur	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	FC Eindhoven	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Poortugaal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Huizen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Zwaluwen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Westlandia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Excelsior	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Rijnvogels	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	De Graafschap	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	Aalsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Mierlo-Hout	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	ACV	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Walcheren	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Staphorst	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	AWC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Juliana '31	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-3	0
84	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
85	Sportclub 25	1	0	0	1	-3	0
86	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-3	0
87	Hollandia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
88	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
89	DVO	1	0	0	1	-3	0
90	Olde Veste '54	1	0	0	1	-3	0
91	FC Emmen	2	0	0	2	-4	0
92	GOES	1	0	0	1	-4	0
93	Kampong	1	0	0	1	-4	0
94	Dongen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
95	Erp	1	0	0	1	-4	0
96	Velocitas	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hoek	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Hoogeveen	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Hsc 21	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Eemdijk	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	ROHDA Raalte	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Halsteren	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	FC Lisse	3	2	0	1	-1	6
8	Koninklijke HFC	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Kozakken Boys	2	1	0	1	+3	3
10	De Treffers	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Sportlust '46	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Kloetinge	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Hercules	2	1	0	1	+2	3
14	GVVV Veenendaal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	't Zand	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	SVV Scheveningen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Waalwijk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	TEC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Dovo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Excelsior Maassluis	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	SC Genemuiden	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Capelle	2	1	0	1	+0	3
23	Gemert	2	1	0	1	+0	3
24	Sparta Nijkerk	2	1	0	1	-1	3
25	Den Bosch	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Heino	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	De Foresters	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Groene Ster	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Katwijk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Blauw Geel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	VV Scherpenzeel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Zwaluwen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Meerssen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Roosendaal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Aalsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Walcheren	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	HHC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	AWC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Juliana '31	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
52	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
55	Olde Veste '54	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	HZVV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
57	Erp	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	SC Genemuiden	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Telstar	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Roda	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Excelsior Maassluis	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Dovo	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Hsc 21	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Excelsior '31	2	1	0	1	+2	3
11	HZVV	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	UDI '19	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Spakenburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Noordwijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Roosendaal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	HHC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Almere City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	FC OSS	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Meerssen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	ASWH	2	1	0	1	+1	3
21	Hoogeveen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Barendrecht	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Volendam	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Capelle	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
27	Sparta Nijkerk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Sportlust '46	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Gemert	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	GVVV Veenendaal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	URK	2	1	0	1	-2	3
33	ARC	2	1	0	1	-4	3
34	Den Haag	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Groene Ster	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	VV Scherpenzeel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	VVOG	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Kloetinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Cambuur	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	FC Eindhoven	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Poortugaal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Huizen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Blauw Geel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	TEC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Westlandia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Excelsior	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Halsteren	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Rijnvogels	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	De Graafschap	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Mierlo-Hout	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	't Zand	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	ACV	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Staphorst	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	Sportclub 25	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	Hollandia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	Koninklijke HFC	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	DVO	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
62	GOES	1	0	0	1	-4	0
63	Kampong	1	0	0	1	-4	0
64	Dongen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
65	Velocitas	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.