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Copa del Rey
Estepona
S U
1–3
Full-time
Malaga
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Estepona Malaga
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
4,5
2,8
Scored
2,5
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Palma del Rio 2 2 0 0 +10 6
2 Sant Just 3 2 0 1 +4 6
3 CD Sant Jordi 3 2 0 1 -2 6
4 Puerto de Vega 3 1 1 1 +2 4
5 Maracena 3 1 1 1 -3 4
6 CD Yuncos 3 1 1 1 -3 4
7 Deportivo Getxo 3 1 1 1 -6 4
8 Inter de Valdemoro 3 1 1 1 -9 4
9 Getafe 1 1 0 0 +11 3
10 Alaves 1 1 0 0 +7 3
11 Villarreal 1 1 0 0 +6 3
12 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +5 3
13 Valencia 1 1 0 0 +5 3
14 Osasuna 1 1 0 0 +5 3
15 Andorra 1 1 0 0 +4 3
16 Granada 1 1 0 0 +4 3
17 Elche 1 1 0 0 +4 3
18 Santander 1 1 0 0 +4 3
19 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +4 3
20 CF Talavera 1 1 0 0 +3 3
21 Leganes 1 1 0 0 +3 3
22 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
23 Numancia 1 1 0 0 +3 3
24 Huesca 1 1 0 0 +3 3
25 Sociedad 1 1 0 0 +3 3
26 Albacete 1 1 0 0 +3 3
27 Ourense CF 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 Eibar 1 1 0 0 +2 3
29 Ponferradina 1 1 0 0 +2 3
30 Cadiz 1 1 0 0 +2 3
31 Eldense 1 1 0 0 +2 3
32 Extremadura 1924 1 1 0 0 +2 3
33 Cultural Leonesa 1 1 0 0 +2 3
34 Zaragoza 1 1 0 0 +2 3
35 Torrent 1 1 0 0 +2 3
36 Atlético Baleares 1 1 0 0 +2 3
37 Almeria 1 1 0 0 +2 3
38 Mallorca 1 1 0 0 +2 3
39 Celta 1 1 0 0 +2 3
40 Ceuta 1 1 0 0 +2 3
41 Levante 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Girona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 Navalcarnero 1 1 0 0 +1 3
44 Guadalajara 1 1 0 0 +1 3
45 Sabadell 1 1 0 0 +1 3
46 Sant Andreu 1 1 0 0 +1 3
47 Burgos 1 1 0 0 +1 3
48 Real Ávila 1 1 0 0 +1 3
49 Portugalete 1 1 0 0 +1 3
50 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
51 Cieza 1 1 0 0 +1 3
52 Cartagena 1 1 0 0 +1 3
53 SD Negreira 3 1 0 2 +0 3
54 Manises 2 1 0 1 +0 3
55 Textil Escudo 2 1 0 1 -3 3
56 Los Garres 3 1 0 2 -4 3
57 Quintanar del Rey 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Ibiza 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Atlético Astorga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Mirandes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Ebro 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Tarazona 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 UD Ourense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Pontevedra 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Reddis 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Europa Fc 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Langreo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Ferrol 1 0 1 0 +0 1
69 Betis Valladolid 2 0 1 1 -1 1
70 Universitario FC 2 0 1 1 -2 1
71 Sporting Ceuta 2 0 1 1 -2 1
72 Campanario 2 0 1 1 -2 1
73 Alberite 2 0 1 1 -4 1
74 Orihuela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Constància 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Mérida AD 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Cacereño 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Poblense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Teruel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Atlético Tordesillas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Real Avilés 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Valladolid 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Caudal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Cordoba 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Puente Genil 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Oviedo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 Náxara 1 0 0 1 -2 0
88 UD Logroñés 1 0 0 1 -2 0
89 Ucam Murcia 1 0 0 1 -2 0
90 Real Jaén 1 0 0 1 -2 0
91 Las Palmas 1 0 0 1 -2 0
92 Tropezón 1 0 0 1 -2 0
93 Mutilvera 1 0 0 1 -2 0
94 Juventud Torremolinos 1 0 0 1 -2 0
95 Gimnastic 1 0 0 1 -2 0
96 Lorca Deportiva 1 0 0 1 -2 0
97 La Unión Atlético 1 0 0 1 -2 0
98 Rayo Majadahonda 1 0 0 1 -3 0
99 Azuaga 1 0 0 1 -3 0
100 Lourdes 2 0 0 2 -3 0
101 Toledo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
102 Arenas Getxo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
103 Utebo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
104 San Fernando CD 1 0 0 1 -3 0
105 Valle Egüés 1 0 0 1 -4 0
106 Roda 1 0 0 1 -4 0
107 SD Logroñés 1 0 0 1 -4 0
108 RSD Alcalá 1 0 0 1 -4 0
109 Atletico Calatayud 2 0 0 2 -6 0
110 Ciudad de Lucena 1 0 0 1 -6 0
111 Atlético Melilla 2 0 0 2 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

31. Oct -24 Estepona – Malaga 3–2

Match report

Estepona Malaga
12′
⚽ J. Lobete 0–1
43′
🟨 Juanpe
E. Delgado 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
S. Baradji 🔁
↦ E. Delgado
46′
46′
🔁 D. Brasanac
↦ Juanpe
46′
🔁 H. Abaida
↦ J. Munoz
46′
🔁 J. Dorrio
↦ J. Lobete
A. Teijeira 🔁
↦ Ale Conteras
60′
R. Tato 🔁
↦ D. Sancho
60′
65′
🟨 J. Gabilondo
S. Exposito 🔁
↦ J. Duarte
67′
M. Benites 🔁
↦ J. Castedo
67′
67′
🔁 C. Dotor
↦ R. Rodriguez
78′
⚽ J. Dorrio 0–2
C. Dotor
79′
🔁 Chupe
↦ E. Jauregi
1–2 A. Teijeira ⚽
R. Tato
80′
A. Teijeira 🟨
82′
90′
⚽ A. Ochoa 1–3
J. Dorrio
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Estepona

1 J. Ruiz
26 A. Gonzalez
5 Lolo Gonzalez
6 J. Aguilera
3 A. Candelas
14 E. Delgado
15 J. Duarte
16 D. Ballarin
10 Ale Conteras
11 J. Castedo
20 D. Sancho
Bench (11)
31 R. Lopez
7 R. Soria Blazquez
17 S. Baradji
18 A. Teijeira
19 R. Tato
21 A. Marin
22 J. Caro
23 S. Exposito
27 D. Pomares
28 M. Benites
29 R. Aguayo

Malaga

13 C. Lopez
2 J. Gabilondo
23 I. Merino
4 E. Galilea
18 D. Sanchez
8 Juanpe
11 J. Munoz
35 A. Ochoa
37 R. Rodriguez
24 J. Lobete
17 E. Jauregi
Bench (11)
1 A. Herrero
5 D. Brasanac
7 H. Abaida
9 Chupe
10 D. Larrubia
12 C. Dotor
14 V. Garcia
16 D. Murillo
25 J. Dorrio
31 Rafita
36 A. Recio

Coach: Juan Funes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.