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Puchar Polski

Gryf Słupsk

1–2

Full-time

Lech Poznan

S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gryf Słupsk Lech Poznan

Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

1,0

2,8

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

0,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Polonia Bytom	3	3	0	0	+14	9
2	Chojniczanka Chojnice	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Avia Świdnik	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Korona Kielce	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	GKS Katowice	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Lechia Gdansk	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Hutnik Kraków	3	2	0	1	+3	6
9	Piast Gliwice	2	2	0	0	+3	6
10	Slask Wroclaw	2	2	0	0	+2	6
11	Wisla	2	2	0	0	+2	6
12	Jastrzębie	2	1	1	0	+2	4
13	Widzew Lodz	2	1	1	0	+1	4
14	Olimpia Grudziądz	3	1	1	1	+1	4
15	Świt Skolwin	3	1	1	1	+0	4
16	Rakow	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Legnica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	LKS Lodz	2	1	0	1	+1	3
20	Cracovia	2	1	0	1	+1	3
21	Zaglebie	2	1	0	1	+1	3
22	Arka Gdynia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Gryf Słupsk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Stal Stalowa Wola	2	1	0	1	+0	3
25	Podbeskidzie	2	1	0	1	+0	3
26	Odra Opole	2	1	0	1	+0	3
27	Warta Poznan	2	1	0	1	+0	3
28	Puszcza	2	1	0	1	-1	3
29	Znicz Pruszków	2	1	0	1	-2	3
30	Wikielec	2	1	0	1	-2	3
31	Goczałkowice Zdrój B	2	1	0	1	-5	3
32	Nieciecza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	ŁKS Łódź II	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Flota Świnoujście	2	0	1	1	-3	1
36	Stal Mielec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Resovia Rzeszów	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Małapanew	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Lechia T. Mazowiecki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Motor Lublin	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Olimpia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Stal Rzeszów	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Polonia Warszawa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Korona Kielce II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Odra Bytom Odrzański	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Chrobry Głogów	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Wisla Plock	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Polonia Środa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Miedź Legnica II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Ruch Chorzow	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Radomiak Radom	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Pogoń Siedlce	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Kalisz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Tychy 71	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Łomża	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Legia Warszawa II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Beskid	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Górnik Łęczna	1	0	0	1	-4	0
64	Zagłębie Lubin II	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Avia Świdnik	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Chojniczanka Chojnice	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Polonia Bytom	1	1	0	0	+6	3
5	Rakow	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	GKS Katowice	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Hutnik Kraków	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	Stal Stalowa Wola	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Legnica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	LKS Lodz	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Podbeskidzie	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Wikielec	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Arka Gdynia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Widzew Lodz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Gryf Słupsk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Warta Poznan	2	1	0	1	+0	3
17	Goczałkowice Zdrój B	2	1	0	1	-5	3
18	Nieciecza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Świt Skolwin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Flota Świnoujście	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Stal Mielec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Małapanew	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Lechia T. Mazowiecki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Stal Rzeszów	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Olimpia Grudziądz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Korona Kielce II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Odra Bytom Odrzański	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Puszcza	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Polonia Środa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Miedź Legnica II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Radomiak Radom	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Kalisz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Odra Opole	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Łomża	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Znicz Pruszków	1	0	0	1	-3	0
39	Legia Warszawa II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
40	Beskid	1	0	0	1	-3	0
41	Górnik Łęczna	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Polonia Bytom	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Korona Kielce	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Lechia Gdansk	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Piast Gliwice	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Slask Wroclaw	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Wisla	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Olimpia Grudziądz	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Jastrzębie	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Chojniczanka Chojnice	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Odra Opole	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Cracovia	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	GKS Katowice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Puszcza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Zaglebie	2	1	0	1	+1	3
16	Znicz Pruszków	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Hutnik Kraków	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Świt Skolwin	2	1	0	1	+0	3
19	Widzew Lodz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	ŁKS Łódź II	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Resovia Rzeszów	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Podbeskidzie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Motor Lublin	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Olimpia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Polonia Warszawa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Chrobry Głogów	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Wisla Plock	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Ruch Chorzow	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Stal Stalowa Wola	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Pogoń Siedlce	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Tychy 71	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	0	0	1	-3	0
35	Wikielec	1	0	0	1	-3	0
36	Flota Świnoujście	1	0	0	1	-3	0
37	Zagłębie Lubin II	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gryf Słupsk Lech Poznan

17′

🟨 T. Ismaheel

19′

⚽ F. Jagiello 0–1

P. Rodriguez

33′

⚽ J. Pereira 0–2

M. Ishak

D. Piechowski 🟨

37′

G. Szygenda 🟨

39′

Half-time 0–2

46′

🔁 Y. Agnero

↦ M. Ishak

46′

🔁 G. Thordarson

↦ F. Jagiello

1–2 D. Wojda ⚽

A. Kwiatkowski

54′

J. Amoah 🔁

↦ V. Pryndeta

64′

M. Wisniewski 🟨

68′

69′

🟨 L. Bengtsson

J. Kazior 🔁

↦ M. Gregorek

72′

D. Butowski 🔁

↦ A. Lyszyk

72′

73′

🔁 B. Fiabema

↦ T. Ismaheel

83′

🔁 S. Dudek

↦ P. Rodriguez

K. Ksiazkiewicz 🔁

↦ V. Kukuruza

84′

W. Ciechanski 🔁

↦ D. Wojda

84′

M. Wisniewski 🟨

93′

M. Wisniewski 🟥

93′

Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Gryf Słupsk

25 K. Golebiewski

17 A. Kwiatkowski

98 M. Wisniewski

10 D. Piechowski

93 V. Pryndeta

6 G. Szygenda

5 D. Mosiejko

21 A. Lyszyk

7 M. Gregorek

77 D. Wojda

9 V. Kukuruza

Bench (9)

24 J. Kazior

19 D. Butowski

18 J. Amoah

15 K. Ksiazkiewicz

14 K. Linstedt

13 A. Slusarczyk

8 W. Ciechanski

1 F. Czarniak

4 F. Zdunek

Lech Poznan

B. Mrozek

J. Pereira

3 A. Douglas

M. Skrzypczak

J. Moutinho

A. Kozubal

F. Jagiello

L. Bengtsson

P. Rodriguez

T. Ismaheel

M. Ishak

Bench (9)

31 K. Bakowski

7 Y. Agnero

15 M. Gurgul

19 B. Fiabema

20 R. Gumny

21 B. Baranski

23 G. Thordarson

27 W. Monka

53 S. Dudek

Coach: Niels Frederiksen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

23. Sep CUP 11 months ago

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Gryf Słupsk

Lech Poznan

Odds comparison

Recent matches