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KNVB Beker
Referee: N Boel
AFC Amsterdam
U S S T S
3–1
Full-time
Blauw Geel
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AFC Amsterdam Blauw Geel
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 64%
60%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
40%
83%
Both score Ø 52%
20%
83%
Average goals
2,8
4,3
Scored
1,8
2,8
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,3
This season — KNVB Beker · 1/2 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
3,0
5,0
Scored
3,0
3,5
Conceded
0,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
22 Shots 16
7 Shots on target 11
5 Blocked shots 0
10 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 8
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 11
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AFC Amsterdam 24. · Blauw Geel 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sparta Nijkerk 3 3 0 0 +12 9
2 Noordwijk 3 3 0 0 +7 9
3 Barendrecht 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Blauw Geel 2 2 0 0 +4 6
5 Winterswijk 2 2 0 0 +4 6
6 Ijsselmeervogels 3 2 0 1 +3 6
7 Hercules 2 2 0 0 +3 6
8 Eemdijk 2 2 0 0 +3 6
9 ASWH 2 2 0 0 +3 6
10 OJC Rosmalen 2 2 0 0 +2 6
11 Quick '20 2 2 0 0 +2 6
12 Dovo 2 2 0 0 +2 6
13 SC Genemuiden 2 2 0 0 +2 6
14 Capelle 3 2 0 1 +1 6
15 Rijnvogels 3 2 0 1 -2 6
16 FC Lisse 2 1 1 0 +1 4
17 Kolping Boys 3 1 1 1 -3 4
18 FC Eindhoven 1 1 0 0 +7 3
19 Groningen 1 1 0 0 +4 3
20 Cambuur 1 1 0 0 +3 3
21 De Graafschap 1 1 0 0 +3 3
22 For Sittard 1 1 0 0 +3 3
23 Sportlust '46 2 1 0 1 +3 3
24 AFC Amsterdam 1 1 0 0 +3 3
25 Gemert 2 1 0 1 +2 3
26 Koninklijke HFC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Juliana '31 2 1 0 1 +1 3
28 Nijmegen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Heerenveen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Excelsior 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 ADO '20 2 1 0 1 +1 3
32 RKAVV 2 1 0 1 +1 3
33 Rijnsburgse Boys 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Excelsior Maassluis 2 1 0 1 +0 3
35 HV & CV Quick 2 1 0 1 +0 3
36 Poortugaal 2 1 0 1 +0 3
37 Vvsb 2 1 0 1 +0 3
38 Ajax Amateurs 2 1 0 1 +0 3
39 UDI '19 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 Achilles Veen 2 1 0 1 -1 3
41 Hoek 2 1 0 1 -1 3
42 TEC 2 1 0 1 -2 3
43 HBC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 Smitshoek 1 0 1 0 +0 1
45 Elinkwijk 1 0 1 0 +0 1
46 EVV 1 0 1 0 +0 1
47 Olde Veste '54 2 0 1 1 -1 1
48 Zwaluw VFC 2 0 1 1 -3 1
49 Zwolle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 RKAV Volendam 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 SteDoCo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 VVV Venlo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 NAC Breda 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 SDC Putten 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 SVV Scheveningen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Kozakken Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 DVS 33 Ermelo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Dordrecht 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 DEM 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Kloetinge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Harkemase Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Huizen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 HHC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Meerssen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Hollandia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 URK 1 0 0 1 -2 0
67 GOES 1 0 0 1 -2 0
68 De Bilt 1 0 0 1 -2 0
69 Geldrop 1 0 0 1 -2 0
70 SVBO 1 0 0 1 -2 0
71 ONS Sneek 1 0 0 1 -2 0
72 Hsc 21 1 0 0 1 -2 0
73 DAW Schaijk 1 0 0 1 -2 0
74 Forum Sport 1 0 0 1 -2 0
75 FC 's-Gravenzande 1 0 0 1 -2 0
76 Blauw Wit '34 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 ACV 1 0 0 1 -3 0
78 Den Haag 1 0 0 1 -3 0
79 FC OSS 1 0 0 1 -3 0
80 De Treffers 1 0 0 1 -3 0
81 UNA 1 0 0 1 -3 0
82 Heerjansdam 1 0 0 1 -3 0
83 GVVV Veenendaal 1 0 0 1 -3 0
84 TOGB 1 0 0 1 -4 0
85 Excelsior '31 1 0 0 1 -4 0
86 ROHDA Raalte 1 0 0 1 -4 0
87 Laar 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AFC Amsterdam Blauw Geel
1–0 R. van Rhijn
J. van der Greft
22′
S. Ederveen 🔁
↦ J. van der Greft
24′
Half-time 1–1
55′
K. van der Zanden 1–1
B. van den Nieuwenhof
M. Eliasar 🔁
↦ N. Benninga
76′
M. Jesse 🔁
↦ W. Been
76′
86′
🔁 J. Mulders
↦ R. Voets
91′
🔁 S. Schobbers
↦ J. van Boxtel
2–1 S. de Mooij
G. van Weerdenburg
97′
T. Linthorst 🔁
↦ S. Ederveen
98′
R. Fonseca 🔁
↦ S. de Mooij
98′
105′
🔁 H. Haouat
↦ D. de Meij
3–1 M. Jesse
112′
J. Zijsling 🔁
↦ M. Klopper
113′
115′
🔁 Y. Nasser
↦ B. van den Nieuwenhof
M. Platje 🔁
↦ C. Claver
120′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

AFC Amsterdam

3-5-2
1 G. van Zetten G
23 R. van Rhijn D
3 G. Markiet D
15 G. van Weerdenburg D
8 M. Hoek M
6 N. Benninga M
10 J. van der Greft M
16 S. de Mooij M
5 C. Claver M
14 M. Klopper F
28 W. Been F
Bench (12)
4 S. Ederveen
24 M. Eliasar
11 M. Jesse
18 T. Linthorst
33 R. Fonseca
31 J. Zijsling
7 M. Platje
21 B. Tier
29 M. Mengerink
19 N. Koster
17 D. Ascencion
30 J. Berghuis

Coach: B. Nihom

Blauw Geel

4-2-3-1
1 A. Budel G
2 J. van Boxtel D
3 R. Voets D
4 M. Zeller D
5 B. Eltink D
6 M. van Rosmalen M
8 H. van Dijk M
7 B. van den Nieuwenhof M
16 D. de Meij M
11 K. van der Zanden M
9 L. Loermans F
Bench (7)
12 J. Mulders
19 S. Schobbers
14 H. Haouat
22 Y. Nasser
17 E. Bergman
15 R. van Weert
23 R. Verberk

Coach: M. Verbunt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.