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Ekstraklasa
Referee: P Gryckiewicz
0–1
Full-time
Zaglebie
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Radomiak Radom Zaglebie
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,3
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
This season — Ekstraklasa · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 37%
41%
32%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
41%
55%
Both score Ø 43%
41%
45%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
1,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%
16 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 7
5 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 2
2 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Radomiak Radom 8. · Zaglebie 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rakow 23 17 4 2 +29 55
2 Legia 23 13 7 3 +9 46
3 Lech Poznan 23 11 6 6 +10 39
4 Widzew Lodz 23 10 6 7 +4 36
5 Pogon Szczecin 23 10 6 7 +1 36
6 Cracovia 23 9 6 8 +7 33
7 Warta Poznan 22 9 6 7 +6 33
8 Radomiak Radom 22 9 5 8 +1 32
9 Stal Mielec 23 8 5 10 -2 29
10 Slask Wroclaw 23 7 8 8 -6 29
11 Wisla Plock 22 8 4 10 +0 28
12 Piast Gliwice 23 7 5 11 -1 26
13 Zaglebie 22 7 5 10 -12 26
14 Jagiellonia 23 5 10 8 +0 25
15 Gornik Zabrze 23 6 7 10 -6 25
16 Korona Kielce 23 6 5 12 -11 23
17 Lechia Gdansk 23 6 4 13 -19 22
18 Legnica 23 4 7 12 -10 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Radomiak Radom Zaglebie
Raphael Rossi 🟨
32′
33′
D. Bohar 0–1
44′
🟨 Marko Poletanović
Half-time 0–1
T. Cele 🔁
↦ C. Donis
64′
F. Castañeda 🔁
↦ Lisandro Semedo
64′
67′
🔁 T. Makowski
↦ M. Poletanović
67′
🔁 M. Doležal
↦ D. Kurminowski
77′
🟨 Tomasz Makowski
77′
🔁 S. Živec
↦ D. Bohar
78′
🔁 F. Starzyński
↦ T. Pieńko
J. Nowakowski 🔁
↦ R. Alves
84′
K. Okoniewski 🔁
↦ Luís Machado
84′
Damian Jakubik 🟨
90′
Berto Cayarga 🟨
93′
93′
🟨 Jarosław Jach
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Radomiak Radom

4-2-3-1
1 G. Kobylak G
14 D. Jakubik D
29 Raphael Rossi D
92 M. Cestor D
33 D. Abramowicz D
10 R. Alves M
77 C. Donis M
7 Lisandro Semedo M
80 Berto Cayarga M
20 Luís Machado M
17 Leonardo Rocha F
Bench (9)
2 T. Cele
70 F. Castañeda
90 J. Nowakowski
18 K. Okoniewski
11 D. Pik
16 M. Cichocki
19 J. Sarmiento
12 A. Posiadała
3 Pedro Justiniano

Coach: M. Lewandowski

Zaglebie

4-2-3-1
87 S. Dioudis G
27 B. Kłudka D
5 A. Ławniczak D
4 J. Jach D
13 M. Grzybek D
20 M. Poletanović M
99 Ł. Łakomy M
26 K. Chodyna M
21 T. Pieńko M
39 D. Bohar M
90 D. Kurminowski F
Bench (9)
6 T. Makowski
15 M. Doležal
7 S. Živec
18 F. Starzyński
55 Luís Mata
1 J. Burić
70 J. Świerczok
14 J. Żubrowski
24 K. Lepczyński

Coach: W. Fornalik

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Gryckiewicz · 60 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.