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Serie A
Referee: A Rapuano
Torino
T S T U T
1–0
Full-time
Bologna
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Bologna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie A · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 38%
33%
42%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
42%
54%
Both score Ø 61%
58%
63%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,94 xG 0,51
43% Possession 57%
12 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 3
5 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Torino 12. · Bologna 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Napoli 25 21 2 2 +42 +7.1 65
2 Juventus 25 15 5 5 +20 +3.4 50
3 Inter 25 16 2 7 +18 +6.1 50
4 Lazio 25 14 6 5 +22 +2.5 48
5 Roma 25 14 5 6 +11 +3.2 47
6 Milan 25 14 5 6 +10 -1.0 47
7 Atalanta 25 12 6 7 +14 +1.9 42
8 Bologna 24 10 5 9 -2 -0.5 35
9 Udinese 25 7 11 7 +3 -2.3 32
10 Monza 25 9 5 11 -5 -2.9 32
11 Fiorentina 25 8 7 10 -2 +3.8 31
12 Torino 24 8 7 9 -3 +1.6 31
13 Sassuolo 25 8 6 11 -7 -0.5 30
14 Empoli 25 6 10 9 -10 -3.7 28
15 Lecce 25 6 9 10 -5 -1.2 27
16 Salernitana 25 6 7 12 -16 -4.4 25
17 Spezia 24 4 8 12 -20 -3.4 20
18 Verona 24 4 5 15 -17 -1.5 17
19 Cremonese 25 1 9 15 -25 -4.9 12
20 Sampdoria 25 2 6 17 -28 -3.3 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Torino Bologna
1–0 Y. Karamoh
A. Sanabria
22′
Half-time 1–0
57′
🔁 J. Zirkzee
↦ R. Soriano
Alessandro Buongiorno 🟨
64′
70′
🟨 Musa Barrow
M. Vojvoda 🔁
↦ R. Rodríguez
73′
O. Aina 🔁
↦ W. Singo
73′
N. Radonjić 🔁
↦ Y. Karamoh
73′
76′
🟨 Jerdy Schouten
79′
🔁 G. Kiriakopoulos
↦ J. Sosa
Mergim Vojvoda 🟨
80′
D. Seck 🔁
↦ A. Sanabria
86′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Torino

3-4-2-1
32 V. Milinković-Savić G
26 K. Djidji D
3 P. Schuurs D
4 A. Buongiorno D
17 W. Singo M
77 K. Linetty M
8 I. Ilić M
13 R. Rodríguez M
59 A. Miranchuk F
7 Y. Karamoh F
9 A. Sanabria F
Bench (11)
27 M. Vojvoda
34 O. Aina
49 N. Radonjić
23 D. Seck
66 G. Gineitis
21 M. Adopo
5 A. Gravillon
94 C. N'Guessan
73 M. Fiorenza
2 B. Bayeye
89 L. Gemello

Coach: I. Juric

Bologna

4-2-3-1
28 Ł. Skorupski G
3 S. Posch D
26 J. Lucumí D
4 J. Sosa D
50 A. Cambiaso D
6 N. Moro M
30 J. Schouten M
7 R. Orsolini M
19 L. Ferguson M
21 R. Soriano M
99 M. Barrow F
Bench (13)
11 J. Zirkzee
77 G. Kiriakopoulos
10 N. Sansone
25 N. Pyyhtiä
29 L. De Silvestri
1 F. Bardi
9 M. Arnautović
34 F. Ravaglia
17 G. Medel
20 M. Aebischer
22 C. Lykogiannis
14 K. Bonifazi
5 A. Soumaoro

Coach: T. Motta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,37
U
3,01
B
3,41
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,40
U2,5 ✓
1,57
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Rapuano · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.