Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Torino
Bologna
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Napoli
|
25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | +42 | +7.1 | 65 |
| 2 |
Juventus
|
25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | +20 | +3.4 | 50 |
| 3 |
Inter
|
25 | 16 | 2 | 7 | +18 | +6.1 | 50 |
| 4 |
Lazio
|
25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | +22 | +2.5 | 48 |
| 5 |
Roma
|
25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | +11 | +3.2 | 47 |
| 6 |
Milan
|
25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | +10 | -1.0 | 47 |
| 7 |
Atalanta
|
25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | +14 | +1.9 | 42 |
| 8 |
Bologna
|
24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | -2 | -0.5 | 35 |
| 9 |
Udinese
|
25 | 7 | 11 | 7 | +3 | -2.3 | 32 |
| 10 |
Monza
|
25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | -5 | -2.9 | 32 |
| 11 |
Fiorentina
|
25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | -2 | +3.8 | 31 |
| 12 |
Torino
|
24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | -3 | +1.6 | 31 |
| 13 |
Sassuolo
|
25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | -7 | -0.5 | 30 |
| 14 |
Empoli
|
25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | -10 | -3.7 | 28 |
| 15 |
Lecce
|
25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | -5 | -1.2 | 27 |
| 16 |
Salernitana
|
25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -16 | -4.4 | 25 |
| 17 |
Spezia
|
24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -20 | -3.4 | 20 |
| 18 |
Verona
|
24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | -17 | -1.5 | 17 |
| 19 |
Cremonese
|
25 | 1 | 9 | 15 | -25 | -4.9 | 12 |
| 20 |
Sampdoria
|
25 | 2 | 6 | 17 | -28 | -3.3 | 12 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
V. Milinković-Savić
G
P. Schuurs
D
W. Singo
M
K. Linetty
M
I. Ilić
M
R. Rodríguez
M
Coach: I. Juric
Ł. Skorupski
G
S. Posch
D
J. Lucumí
D
A. Cambiaso
D
N. Moro
M
R. Orsolini
M
L. Ferguson
M
Coach: T. Motta
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Juventus
Torino
Torino
Cremonese
Milan
Torino
Torino
Udinese
Fiorentina
Torino
A Rapuano · 81 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.