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Super League
Referee: I Papadopoulos
Panathinaikos
S S S S U
2–0
Full-time
Panetolikos
S U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Panetolikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,5
This season — Super League · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 52%
73%
31%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
27%
38%
Both score Ø 39%
31%
46%
Average goals
1,9
2,5
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
0,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

75% Possession 25%
26 Shots 4
7 Shots on target 1
10 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 1
0 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panathinaikos 2. · Panetolikos 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AEK 26 20 2 4 +43 62
2 Panathinaikos 26 19 4 3 +24 61
3 Olympiakos 27 16 8 3 +37 56
4 PAOK 27 15 10 2 +28 55
5 Volos NFC 27 12 6 9 -7 42
6 Aris Thessalonikis 25 11 4 10 +12 37
7 Aris 25 11 4 10 +12 37
8 Panetolikos 26 8 7 11 -9 31
9 Atromitos 26 7 9 10 -2 30
10 OFI Crete 27 6 9 12 -12 27
11 Asteras Tripolis 27 4 13 10 -15 25
12 Giannina 26 4 11 11 -19 23
13 Lamia 27 3 10 14 -36 19
14 Ionikos 27 4 6 17 -27 18
15 Levadeiakos 27 2 9 16 -29 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panathinaikos Panetolikos
30′
🟨 Ilias Chatzitheodoridis
36′
🟨 Jacob Une Larsson
Bart Schenkeveld 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 D. Mancini
D. Kourbelis
62′
L. Kleinheisler 🔁
↦ D. Mancini
72′
72′
🔁 J. Morsay
↦ Frederico Duarte
72′
🔁 I. Bouzoukis
↦ N. Karelis
72′
🔁 João Pedro
↦ J. Añor
F. Ioannidis 🔁
↦ A. Šporar
77′
Giannis Kotsiras 🟨
83′
2–0 S. Palacios
84′
E. Çokaj 🔁
↦ D. Kourbelis
86′
86′
🔁 D. Houhoumis
↦ J. Mårtensson
86′
🔁 A. Nosiru
↦ I. Chatzitheodoridis
T. Puchacz 🔁
↦ Juan Carlos
87′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Panathinaikos

4-2-3-1
91 A. Brignoli G
27 G. Kotsiras D
5 B. Schenkeveld D
23 H. Magnússon D
3 Juan Carlos D
4 Rubén Pérez M
21 D. Kourbelis M
34 S. Palacios M
16 A. Čerin M
17 D. Mancini M
9 A. Šporar F
Bench (9)
8 L. Kleinheisler
7 F. Ioannidis
18 E. Çokaj
6 T. Puchacz
12 Y. Lodygin
14 F. Sánchez
2 G. Vagiannidis
99 A. Kampetsis
44 A. Poungouras

Coach: I. Jovanović

Panetolikos

4-2-3-1
13 J. Graterol G
2 K. Apostolakis D
16 J. Une-Larsson D
47 A. Malis D
12 I. Chatzitheodoridis D
5 S. Mladen M
17 J. Mårtensson M
27 L. Shengelia M
21 J. Añor M
14 Frederico Duarte M
7 N. Karelis F
Bench (9)
25 J. Morsay
18 I. Bouzoukis
9 João Pedro
3 D. Houhoumis
4 A. Nosiru
1 G. Anestis
23 G. Xenitidis
54 G. Liavas
19 A. Voilis

Coach: Y. Anastasiou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,20
U
5,96
B
14,15
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,94
U2,5 ✓
1,82
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

I Papadopoulos · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
32,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.