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Puchar Polski
Referee: P Gryckiewicz
Podbeskidzie
T U T T S
0–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Podbeskidzie Pogon Szczecin
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
3,3
Scored
1,0
2,5
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

6 Corners 5
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Gornik Zabrze 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Warta Poznan 2 2 0 0 +5 6
3 Piast Gliwice 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Wisła Puławy 2 2 0 0 +4 6
5 Carina Gubin 2 2 0 0 +4 6
6 Stal Rzeszów 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 Korona Kielce 2 2 0 0 +3 6
8 Polonia Warszawa 2 2 0 0 +2 6
9 Cracovia 2 2 0 0 +2 6
10 Garbarnia Kraków 2 2 0 0 +2 6
11 Kotwica Kołobrzeg 2 1 1 0 +1 4
12 Lech Poznan 1 1 0 0 +4 3
13 Widzew Lodz 1 1 0 0 +4 3
14 Polonia Bytom 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 Legia 1 1 0 0 +3 3
16 Podbeskidzie 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Jagiellonia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Rakow 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Arka Gdynia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Znicz Pruszków 2 1 0 1 +1 3
21 Chojniczanka Chojnice 2 1 0 1 +1 3
22 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2 1 0 1 +1 3
23 Resovia Rzeszów 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Wisla 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Stal Stalowa Wola 2 1 0 1 +1 3
26 Stal Mielec 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 2 1 0 1 +0 3
28 Stal Brzeg 2 1 0 1 +0 3
29 Zaglebie 2 1 0 1 +0 3
30 Motor Lublin 2 1 0 1 +0 3
31 Puszcza 2 1 0 1 +0 3
32 Legia Warszawa II 2 1 0 1 -1 3
33 LKS Lodz 2 1 0 1 -1 3
34 Pogoń Siedlce 2 1 0 1 -1 3
35 Tychy 71 2 1 0 1 -1 3
36 Radunia Stężyca 2 1 0 1 -2 3
37 Jastrzębie 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Nieciecza 2 0 1 1 -1 1
39 Kalisz 2 0 1 1 -1 1
40 Górnik Łęczna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Ruch Chorzow 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 SKRA Częstochowa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Sokół Kleczew 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Lechia Gdansk 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Olimpia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Radomiak Radom 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Stomil Olsztyn 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Sandecja Nowy Sącz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Odra Opole 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Zagłębie Lubin II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Jagiellonia II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 KSZO 1929 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Lech Poznań II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Chrobry Głogów 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 Wisla Plock 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 Gryf Wejherowo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 Slask Wroclaw 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Legnica 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 Hutnik Kraków 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Śląsk Wrocław II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Górnik Polkowice 1 0 0 1 -3 0
63 Pogoń Szczecin II 1 0 0 1 -3 0
64 Miedź Legnica II 1 0 0 1 -3 0
65 GKS Katowice 1 0 0 1 -4 0
66 Wieczysta Krakow 1 0 0 1 -4 0
67 Start Krasnystaw 1 0 0 1 -4 0
68 Concordia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -4 0
69 Unia Skierniewice 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Podbeskidzie Pogon Szczecin
Martin Chlumecky 🟨
17′
42′
🟨 Fredrik Ulvestad
Half-time 0–0
64′
🔁 A. Przyborek
↦ M. Fornalczyk
64′
🔁 João Gamboa
↦ A. Gorgon
64′
🔁 L. Zahović
↦ E. Koulouris
H. Kadrić 🔁
↦ M. Sitek
65′
69′
🟨 Rafał Kurzawa
77′
🔁 V. Bichakhchyan
↦ F. Ulvestad
M. Stryjewski 🔁
↦ J. Kolenc
82′
T. Jodłowiec 🔁
↦ S. Nnoshiri
82′
86′
🟨 Vahan Bichakhchyan
90′
K. Grosicki 0–1
91′
🔁 W. Lisowski
↦ L. Wahlqvist
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Podbeskidzie

3-4-2-1
P. Procek G
D. Mikołajewski D
J. Hlavica D
M. Chlumecký D
M. Ziółkowski D
M. Misztal M
J. Kolenc M
P. Tomasik D
S. Nnoshiri M
M. Sitek F
M. Banaszewski M
Bench (9)
H. Kadrić
M. Stryjewski
T. Jodłowiec
A. Perošević
J. Kisiel
M. Stryjewski
M. Willmann
P. Lukáč
T. Milašius

Coach: G. Mokry

Pogon Szczecin

4-2-3-1
V. Cojocaru G
L. Wahlqvist D
B. Zech D
M. Malec D
L. Koútris D
F. Ulvestad M
R. Kurzawa M
M. Fornalczyk M
A. Gorgon M
K. Grosicki M
E. Koulouris F
Bench (9)
A. Przyborek
João Gamboa
L. Zahović
V. Bichakhchyan
W. Lisowski
B. Klebaniuk
Léo Borges
O. Korczakowski
P. Stolarski

Coach: J. Gustafsson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Gryckiewicz · 60 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.