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Champions League
Referee: D Orsato
FK Crvena Zvezda
S T T U T
1–2
Full-time
RB Leipzig
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FK Crvena Zvezda RB Leipzig
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,8
2,8
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
2,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,0
4,0
Scored
1,3
2,3
Conceded
2,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,52 xG 2,23
49% Possession 51%
15 Shots 24
3 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 10
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 7
6 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 11
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Oct -23 RB Leipzig – FK Crvena Zvezda 3–1

Match report

FK Crvena Zvezda RB Leipzig
Srđan Mijailović 🟨
6′
8′
⚽ X. Simons 0–1
X. Schlager
Jean-Philippe Krasso 🟨
28′
Half-time 0–1
K. Nedeljković 🔁
↦ S. Mijailović
46′
C. Ndiaye 🔁
↦ J. Krasso
46′
49′
🟨 Mohamed Simakan
Mirko Ivanić 🟨
52′
56′
🟨 Castello Lukeba
59′
🟨 Benjamin Henrichs
P. Olayinka 🔁
↦ M. Ivanić
70′
70′
🔁 L. Klostermann
↦ B. Šeško
70′
🔁 C. Baumgartner
↦ E. Forsberg
Vladimir Lučić 🟨
73′
75′
🔁 Fábio Carvalho
↦ X. Simons
77′
⚽ L. Openda 0–2
X. Schlager
J. Mijatović 🔁
↦ V. Lučić
78′
0–3 B. Henrichs ⚽
own goal
81′
83′
🔁 N. Seiwald
↦ A. Haidara
84′
🔁 K. Kampl
↦ X. Schlager
A. Katai 🔁
↦ M. Rodić
85′
Peter Olayinka 🟨
94′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

FK Crvena Zvezda

5-3-2
18 O. Glazer G
33 S. Mijailović D
24 N. Djiga D
15 A. Dragović D
23 M. Rodić D
37 V. Lučić D
8 G. Kanga M
66 Hwang In-Beom M
4 M. Ivanić M
17 J. Krasso F
30 O. Bukari F
Bench (12)
2 K. Nedeljković
9 C. Ndiaye
14 P. Olayinka
22 J. Mijatović
10 A. Katai
20 K. Kangwa
5 U. Spajić
70 U. Kabić
80 S. Mitrović
6 M. Stamenić
1 Z. Popović
3 M. Degenek

Coach: B. Bakhar

RB Leipzig

4-4-2
21 J. Blaswich G
39 B. Henrichs D
2 M. Simakan D
23 C. Lukeba D
22 D. Raum D
20 X. Simons M
24 X. Schlager M
8 A. Haidara M
10 E. Forsberg M
17 L. Openda F
30 B. Šeško F
Bench (8)
16 L. Klostermann
14 C. Baumgartner
18 Fábio Carvalho
13 N. Seiwald
44 K. Kampl
9 Y. Poulsen
3 C. Lenz
1 P. Gulácsi

Coach: M. Rose

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Orsato · 98 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.