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Champions League
Referee: I Peljto
Shakhtar Donetsk
U T T S T
1–0
Full-time
Barcelona
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Shakhtar Donetsk Barcelona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
4,2
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
2,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
1,7
2,7
Conceded
2,3
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+2,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,86 xG 0,93
32% Possession 68%
9 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 3
4 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Oct -23 Barcelona – Shakhtar Donetsk 2–1

Match report

Shakhtar Donetsk Barcelona
1–0 D. Sikan ⚽
G. Gocholeishvili
40′
Half-time 1–0
47′
🟨 Ronald Araújo
59′
🔁 Lamine Yamal
↦ Raphinha
59′
🔁 João Félix
↦ Ferran Torres
59′
🔁 Pedri
↦ Oriol Romeu
60′
🔁 Alejandro Balde
↦ Marcos Alonso
K. Kelsy 🔁
↦ D. Sikan
62′
Y. Nazaryna 🔁
↦ T. Stepanenko
72′
81′
🔁 Fermín
↦ Gavi
Newerton Palmares 🟨
98′
M. Shved 🔁
↦ Newerton
98′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Shakhtar Donetsk

4-1-4-1
31 D. Riznyk G
13 G. Gocholeishvili D
5 V. Bondar D
44 Y. Rakitskyi D
22 M. Matviienko D
6 T. Stepanenko M
11 O. Zubkov M
8 D. Kryskiv M
10 H. Sudakov M
39 Newerton M
14 D. Sikan F
Bench (12)
18 K. Kelsy
29 Y. Nazaryna
9 M. Shved
7 Eguinaldo
16 I. Azarovi
25 N. Miroshi
90 O. Kashchuk
1 A. Rudko
3 S. Lemkin
20 D. Topalov
4 D. Castillo
19 D. Chyhrynskyi

Coach: M. Pusic

Barcelona

4-3-3
1 M. ter Stegen G
2 João Cancelo D
4 R. Araujo D
15 A. Christensen D
17 Marcos Alonso D
22 İ. Gündoğan M
18 Oriol Romeu M
6 Gavi M
11 Raphinha F
9 R. Lewandowski F
7 Ferran Torres F
Bench (10)
27 Lamine Yamal
14 João Félix
8 Pedri
3 Alejandro Balde
32 Fermín
13 Iñaki Peña
26 Ander Astralaga
30 Marc Casadó
5 Iñigo Martínez
23 J. Koundé

Coach: Xavi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Peljto · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.