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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: M Støfringshaug
Kristiansund
U T T S S
2–1
Full-time
Sogndal
T U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kristiansund Sogndal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,7
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
25%
75%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Kristiansund 7. · Sogndal 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ranheim 4 3 0 1 -1 9
2 hodd 4 2 2 0 +4 8
3 Sogndal 4 2 2 0 +2 8
4 Fredrikstad 4 2 2 0 +2 8
5 Raufoss 4 2 1 1 +5 7
6 Jerv 4 2 0 2 +0 6
7 Kristiansund 4 2 0 2 -1 6
8 Start 4 1 2 1 +2 5
9 Sandnes ULF 4 1 2 1 +2 5
10 Bryne 4 1 2 1 +0 5
11 Moss 4 1 2 1 +0 5
12 Skeid 4 1 1 2 +0 4
13 Asane 4 0 3 1 -1 3
14 Kongsvinger 4 1 0 3 -4 3
15 KFUM Oslo 4 0 2 2 -5 2
16 Mjondalen 4 0 1 3 -5 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kristiansund Sogndal
23′
🟨 M. Sjolstad
1–0 M. Rakneberg
34′
Half-time 1–0
T. Gjertsen 🟨
58′
A. Hopmark 🔁
↦ M. Williamsen
66′
66′
🔁 A. Díaz
↦ E. Flataker
75′
K. Nessø 1–1
2–1 S. Kartum
79′
E. Myrlid 🔁
↦ J. Isaksen
84′
84′
🔁 A. van der Spa
↦ K. Nessø
90′
🔁 P. Flo
↦ M. Sjølstad
O. Sivertsen 🔁
↦ T. Gjertsen
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Kristiansund

1 S. McDermott
5 D. Ulvestad
2 S. Nilsen
26 M. Williamsen
16 M. Ceïde
8 S. Kartum
14 J. Isaksen
18 S. Jarl
9 B. Stokke
7 T. Gjertsen
15 M. Rakneberg
Bench (9)
6 A. Hopmark
20 E. Myrlid
37 O. Sivertsen
12 A. Sæther
13 M. Olsen
24 D. Agbo
25 I. Annan
31 L. Alvheim
35 I. Aalberg

Coach: C. Michelsen

Sogndal

1 R. Fij
4 D. Arrocha
3 M. Gueye
17 M. Sjølstad
15 K. Nessø
7 J. Jónsson
20 I. Twum
8 V. Ingimundarson
11 A. Hoven
27 S. Ørjasæter
30 E. Flataker
Bench (6)
99 A. Díaz
26 A. van der Spa
13 P. Flo
9 E. Kupen
21 J. Johnsen
29 K. Steinset

Coach: T. Flo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Støfringshaug · 64 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.