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Super League
Referee: C Pawson
Panathinaikos
S S S S U
1–1
Full-time
PAOK
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
17%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
1,5
4,5
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
0,2
2,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,5
This season — Super League · 36/37 matches
Win Ø 65%
72%
57%
Points per game
2,4
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
22%
51%
Both score Ø 34%
25%
43%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
0,4
0,9
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
16 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 5
3 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panathinaikos 2. · PAOK 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AEK 36 27 4 5 +54 85
2 Panathinaikos 36 26 7 3 +35 85
3 PAOK 37 21 10 6 +27 73
4 Olympiakos 37 20 10 7 +43 70
5 Aris 34 15 5 14 +15 50
6 Aris Thessalonikis 33 14 5 14 +13 47
7 Volos NFC 37 12 7 18 -29 43
8 OFI Crete 33 9 11 13 -9 38
9 Atromitos 33 8 11 14 -5 35
10 Panetolikos 33 8 9 16 -16 33
11 Asteras Tripolis 33 5 15 13 -17 30
12 Giannina 33 6 12 15 -24 30
13 Lamia 33 6 12 15 -34 30
14 Ionikos 33 7 7 19 -27 28
15 Levadeiakos 33 4 13 16 -26 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panathinaikos PAOK
1–0 D. Mancini
A. Šporar
9′
28′
🔁 Brandon Thomas
↦ Nélson Oliveira
Daniel Mancini 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–1
60′
Brandon Thomas 1–1
Filipe Soares
Rubén Pérez 🔁
↦ A. Šporar
61′
69′
🟨 Andrija Živković
71′
🔁 S. Schwab
↦ Tiago Dantas
L. Kleinheisler 🔁
↦ Bernard
74′
Juankar 🟨
76′
81′
🔁 Vieirinha
↦ L. Lyratzis
82′
🔁 D. Biseswar
↦ O. El Kaddouri
Bart Schenkeveld 🟥
84′
S. Palacios 🔁
↦ D. Mancini
86′
H. Magnússon 🔁
↦ E. Çokaj
87′
Fotis Ioannidis 🟨
94′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Panathinaikos

4-4-2
91 A. Brignoli G
27 G. Kotsiras D
5 B. Schenkeveld D
31 Z. Šarlija D
3 Juan Carlos D
17 D. Mancini M
16 A. Čerin M
18 E. Çokaj M
10 Bernard M
7 F. Ioannidis F
9 A. Šporar F
Bench (9)
4 Rubén Pérez
8 L. Kleinheisler
34 S. Palacios
23 H. Magnússon
99 A. Kampetsis
12 Y. Lodygin
2 G. Vagiannidis
6 T. Puchacz
14 F. Sánchez

Coach: I. Jovanović

PAOK

4-4-2
42 D. Kotarski G
19 L. Lyratzis D
16 T. Kędziora D
3 I. Näsberg D
55 Rafa Soares D
14 A. Živković M
50 Filipe Soares M
26 Tiago Dantas M
7 O. El Kaddouri M
65 I. Konstantelias F
9 Nélson Oliveira F
Bench (9)
71 Brandon Thomas
22 S. Schwab
20 Vieirinha
21 D. Biseswar
24 M. Tsaousis
59 K. Koulierakis
31 André Ricardo
95 S. Tzimas
18 Ž. Živković

Coach: R. Lucescu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,69
U ✓
3,40
B
5,44
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,48
U2,5 ✓
1,52
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Pawson · 173 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.