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Allsvenskan
Referee: A Ekberg
Kalmar
T S S S U
2–2
Full-time
Sirius
U U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kalmar Sirius
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,5
2,3
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
0,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,7
This season — Allsvenskan · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
60%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 20%
20%
20%
Both score Ø 40%
20%
60%
Average goals
1,8
1,8
Scored
1,4
0,6
Conceded
0,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

48% Possession 52%
7 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kalmar 4. · Sirius 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Malmo FF 5 5 0 0 +8 15
2 Hacken 5 4 0 1 +7 12
3 Elfsborg 5 3 1 1 +5 10
4 Kalmar 5 3 1 1 +5 10
5 Norrkoping 5 2 2 1 +1 8
6 Djurgarden 5 2 1 2 +0 7
7 Mjallby 5 2 1 2 +0 7
8 Hammarby 5 2 0 3 -2 6
9 Degerfors 5 2 0 3 -2 6
10 Varnamo 5 2 0 3 -2 6
11 Halmstad 5 2 0 3 -3 6
12 Brommapojkarna 5 2 0 3 -4 6
13 Varberg 5 0 4 1 -2 4
14 AIK 5 1 1 3 -3 4
15 Sirius 5 0 4 1 -3 4
16 Goteborg 5 0 1 4 -5 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kalmar Sirius
1–0 M. Rajović
N. Shamoun
9′
2–0 M. Rajović
A. Lindahl
27′
Half-time 2–1
52′
T. Matthews 2–1
M. Kaastrup
R. Gojani 🔁
↦ D. Hümmet
59′
Nahom Girmai 🟨
61′
J. Karlsson 🔁
↦ N. Shamoun
63′
Ricardo Friedrich 🟨
73′
81′
🔁 E. Sylisufaj
↦ M. Heier
81′
🔁 A. Wikman
↦ A. Alsanati
S. Ylätupa 🔁
↦ A. Lindahl
84′
86′
🔁 H. Sjögrell
↦ T. Matthews
96′
J. Roche 2–2
H. Sjögrell
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Kalmar

4-3-3
1 Ricardo Friedrich G
2 A. Lindahl D
39 L. Sætra D
6 R. Sjöstedt D
3 D. Ólafsson D
21 D. Hümmet M
29 Romário M
22 N. Girmai Netabay M
11 S. Skrabb F
9 M. Rajović F
14 N. Shamoun F
Bench (8)
23 R. Gojani
13 J. Karlsson
19 S. Ylätupa
30 J. Kindberg
28 E. Olsson
25 R. Jansson
26 A. Motaraghebjafarpour
27 A. Davoudi-Kia

Coach: H. Jensen

Sirius

4-5-1
30 J. Tånnander G
14 A. Bjarnason D
13 J. Voelkerling Persson D
6 M. Mathisen D
21 D. Widgren D
22 A. Alsanati M
8 D. Stensson M
5 J. Roche M
19 M. Heier M
7 T. Matthews M
28 M. Kaastrup F
Bench (9)
23 E. Sylisufaj
18 A. Wikman
16 H. Sjögrell
35 H. Sveijer
36 A. Ljungberg
27 E. Özkan
33 T. Olsson
20 J. Persson
31 M. Jeng

Coach: C. Mattiasson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Ekberg · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.