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Super League

Referee: S Zampalas

Panserraikos

U S T S U

0–0

Full-time

Aris Thessalonikis

U U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panserraikos Aris Thessalonikis

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

1,5

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 26/24 matches

Win Ø 20%

15%

25%

Points per game

0,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

58%

29%

Both score Ø 46%

42%

50%

Average goals

2,8

1,9

Scored

0,7

0,8

Conceded

2,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,80 xG 0,58

42% Possession 58%

13 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 6

3 Offside 5

11 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Panserraikos 15. · Aris Thessalonikis 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Olympiakos	27	18	7	2	+35	+9.6	61
2	AEK	26	18	6	2	+30	+7.8	60
3	PAOK	26	17	7	2	+35	+7.0	58
4	Panathinaikos	26	14	7	5	+19	+5.4	49
5	Levadeiakos	26	11	8	7	+16	-5.9	41
6	OFI Crete	26	10	2	14	-10	-7.8	32
7	Aris	25	6	12	7	-5	–	30
8	Atromitos	26	7	8	11	-4	-1.1	29
9	Aris Thessalonikis	24	6	11	7	-5	-1.6	29
10	Volos NFC	26	8	5	13	-13	+2.7	29
11	Panetolikos	26	8	3	15	-13	-2.2	27
12	Kifisia	26	5	10	11	-10	-1.8	25
13	Larisa	27	5	10	12	-17	-2.9	25
14	Asteras Tripolis	27	3	9	15	-19	-3.6	18
15	Panserraikos	26	4	5	17	-39	-5.7	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PAOK	13	11	2	0	+23	+2.8	35
2	AEK	13	11	1	1	+18	+4.8	34
3	Olympiakos	13	10	2	1	+20	+2.6	32
4	Panathinaikos	13	9	3	1	+17	+2.6	30
5	Levadeiakos	13	7	3	3	+16	-4.0	24
6	OFI Crete	14	7	0	7	+6	-3.8	21
7	Volos NFC	13	4	5	4	-4	+2.9	17
8	Aris Thessalonikis	12	2	9	1	+1	+1.7	15
9	Aris	12	2	9	1	+1	–	15
10	Larisa	14	3	6	5	-8	+0.2	15
11	Kifisia	13	3	4	6	-4	-0.7	13
12	Panetolikos	13	4	0	9	-9	+0.4	12
13	Asteras Tripolis	13	2	5	6	-3	-0.2	11
14	Panserraikos	13	3	2	8	-16	-5.2	11
15	Atromitos	13	2	4	7	-5	+0.6	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Olympiakos	14	8	5	1	+15	+7.0	29
2	AEK	13	7	5	1	+12	+3.1	26
3	PAOK	13	6	5	2	+12	+4.2	23
4	Panathinaikos	13	5	4	4	+2	+2.8	19
5	Atromitos	13	5	4	4	+1	-1.7	19
6	Levadeiakos	13	4	5	4	+0	-1.9	17
7	Panetolikos	13	4	3	6	-4	-2.6	15
8	Aris	13	4	3	6	-6	–	15
9	Aris Thessalonikis	12	4	2	6	-6	-3.3	14
10	Kifisia	13	2	6	5	-6	-1.1	12
11	Volos NFC	13	4	0	9	-9	-0.3	12
12	OFI Crete	12	3	2	7	-16	-4.0	11
13	Larisa	13	2	4	7	-9	-3.1	10
14	Asteras Tripolis	14	1	4	9	-16	-3.3	7
15	Panserraikos	13	1	3	9	-23	-0.5	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.