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Ekstraklasa

Referee: M Kochanek

Warta Poznan

U S U S S

0–2

Full-time

Puszcza

T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Warta Poznan Puszcza

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,8

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,8

3,7

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

0,5

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 22%

29%

14%

Points per game

1,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

21%

50%

Both score Ø 54%

36%

71%

Average goals

2,0

3,3

Scored

1,0

1,1

Conceded

1,0

2,1

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,80 xG 0,67

63% Possession 37%

10 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Warta Poznan 10. · Puszcza 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	14	9	3	2	+13	+4.1	30
2	Jagiellonia	14	9	2	3	+15	+6.2	29
3	Lech Poznan	14	8	4	2	+9	-3.4	28
4	Rakow	13	8	2	3	+14	+6.0	26
5	Pogon Szczecin	14	8	1	5	+12	+8.1	25
6	Legia	13	7	2	4	+3	+2.0	23
7	Zaglebie	14	6	2	6	-7	-0.9	20
8	Gornik Zabrze	14	5	4	5	-1	-6.8	19
9	Radomiak Radom	14	5	3	6	-1	+0.5	18
10	Warta Poznan	14	4	5	5	+0	-1.2	17
11	Piast Gliwice	14	2	10	2	+0	+10.6	16
12	Korona Kielce	13	3	6	4	+0	-0.9	15
13	Stal Mielec	14	4	3	7	-3	-6.1	15
14	Widzew Lodz	13	4	3	6	-3	-3.7	15
15	Cracovia	13	3	6	4	-5	-0.2	15
16	Puszcza	14	2	4	8	-14	-8.2	10
17	Ruch Chorzow	13	1	5	7	-11	-3.1	8
18	LKS Lodz	14	2	1	11	-21	-3.2	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	7	7	0	0	+17	+8.1	21
2	Rakow	8	6	2	0	+16	+5.5	20
3	Lech Poznan	8	6	2	0	+13	+0.7	20
4	Slask Wroclaw	7	5	1	1	+8	+4.6	16
5	Legia	7	5	0	2	+7	+5.2	15
6	Zaglebie	7	4	2	1	+3	+2.3	14
7	Pogon Szczecin	7	4	0	3	+4	+9.8	12
8	Widzew Lodz	6	4	0	2	+2	+1.9	12
9	Stal Mielec	7	3	2	2	+4	+0.3	11
10	Gornik Zabrze	7	3	2	2	-1	-2.9	11
11	Piast Gliwice	7	2	4	1	+1	+7.6	10
12	Korona Kielce	6	2	3	1	+3	+4.8	9
13	Radomiak Radom	7	2	3	2	+2	+1.5	9
14	Puszcza	7	2	3	2	-2	-0.7	9
15	LKS Lodz	6	2	1	3	-7	-2.2	7
16	Warta Poznan	7	1	3	3	-2	-0.3	6
17	Cracovia	6	1	3	2	-5	-1.0	6
18	Ruch Chorzow	6	1	2	3	-4	-0.8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	7	4	2	1	+5	-0.5	14
2	Pogon Szczecin	7	4	1	2	+8	-1.7	13
3	Warta Poznan	7	3	2	2	+2	-0.8	11
4	Cracovia	7	2	3	2	+0	+0.8	9
5	Radomiak Radom	7	3	0	4	-3	-1.0	9
6	Gornik Zabrze	7	2	2	3	+0	-4.0	8
7	Jagiellonia	7	2	2	3	-2	-1.9	8
8	Legia	6	2	2	2	-4	-3.2	8
9	Lech Poznan	6	2	2	2	-4	-4.1	8
10	Piast Gliwice	7	0	6	1	-1	+3.0	6
11	Rakow	5	2	0	3	-2	+0.5	6
12	Korona Kielce	7	1	3	3	-3	-5.6	6
13	Zaglebie	7	2	0	5	-10	-3.2	6
14	Stal Mielec	7	1	1	5	-7	-6.4	4
15	Widzew Lodz	7	0	3	4	-5	-5.6	3
16	Ruch Chorzow	7	0	3	4	-7	-2.3	3
17	Puszcza	7	0	1	6	-12	-7.5	1
18	LKS Lodz	8	0	0	8	-14	-1.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.