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Süper Lig
Referee: Ali Palabıyık
Ankaragücü
T S S S T
1–0
Full-time
Antalyaspor
U U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ankaragücü Antalyaspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — Süper Lig · 29/30 matches
Win Ø 28%
28%
27%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
52%
30%
Both score Ø 53%
55%
50%
Average goals
2,9
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%
9 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 9
10 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ankaragücü 18. · Antalyaspor 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Besiktas 29 20 4 5 +33 64
2 Galatasaray 31 19 4 8 +31 61
3 Fenerbahce 30 18 5 7 +23 59
4 Trabzonspor 31 16 8 7 +9 56
5 Alanyaspor 30 14 7 9 +19 49
6 Hatayspor 30 14 7 9 +15 49
7 Gaziantep 30 12 11 7 +10 47
8 Karagumruk 31 12 9 10 +8 45
9 Sivasspor 30 9 14 7 +2 41
10 Goztep 31 10 10 11 +2 40
11 Konyaspor 30 10 9 11 +1 39
12 Antalyaspor 30 8 15 7 -7 39
13 Rizespor 30 8 11 11 -11 35
14 Yeni Malatyaspor 29 7 11 11 -4 32
15 Kayserispor 30 8 8 14 -16 32
16 Kasimpasa 30 8 7 15 -14 31
17 Buyuksehyr 30 7 9 14 -16 30
18 Ankaragücü 29 8 5 16 -14 29
19 Erzurumspor 31 6 9 16 -22 27
20 Genclerbirligi 29 7 6 16 -25 27
21 Denizlispor 29 6 7 16 -24 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ankaragücü Antalyaspor
Michał Pazdan 🟨
21′
30′
🟨 Hakan Özmert
32′
🔁 D. Sinik
↦ H. Özmert
Half-time 0–0
J. Paintsil 🔁
↦ Geraldo
46′
Endri Çekiçi 🟨
53′
55′
🟨 Bünyamin Balcı
61′
🟨 Nuri Şahin
A. Badji 🔁
↦ S. Lobzhanidze
62′
68′
🟨 Veysel Sarı
72′
🔁 F. Kudryashov
↦ V. Sarı
81′
🔁 S. Gürler
↦ S. Sam
81′
🔁 U. Akyol
↦ Fredy
1–0 T. Børven
Tiago Pinto
82′
I. Voca 🔁
↦ E. Çekiçi
91′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Ankaragücü

4-2-3-1
1 K. Çelikay G
2 M. Pazdan D
13 A. Kulusic D
8 Tiago Pinto D
70 S. Kitsiou D
20 A. Potuk M
24 İ. Akdağ M
88 E. Çekiçi M
11 S. Lobzhanidze M
22 T. Børven F
29 Geraldo M
Bench (10)
28 J. Paintsil
27 A. Badji
42 I. Voca
10 O. Çınar
4 E. Dikmen
50 Z. Šarlija
99 F. Bekleviç
14 A. Dioussé
77 E. Güral
16 A. Güneren

Coach: H. Karaman

Antalyaspor

4-2-3-1
25 R. Boffin G
6 E. Albayrak D
89 V. Sarı D
4 Naldo D
77 B. Balcı D
8 N. Şahin M
88 H. Özmert M
9 S. Sam M
16 Fredy M
10 L. Podolski F
23 Amilton M
Bench (10)
7 D. Sinik
13 F. Kudryashov
17 S. Gürler
19 U. Akyol
53 M. Yılmaz
28 O. Imeri
35 F. Kaplan
96 F. Koç
99 A. İyican
5 B. Öztürk

Coach: E. Yanal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,42
U
3,17
B
2,95
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,13
U2,5 ✓
1,70
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Ali Palabıyık · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.