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2. Bundesliga
Referee: M Petersen
Schalke 04
T T S T S
1–2
Full-time
Elversberg
U U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 Elversberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
2,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,7
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 38%
33%
42%
Points per game
1,1
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
75%
58%
Both score Ø 63%
67%
58%
Average goals
3,8
2,9
Scored
1,6
1,4
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

56% Possession 44%
22 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 5
8 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Schalke 04 15. · Elversberg 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 12 7 5 0 +15 26
2 Hamburg 12 7 3 2 +11 24
3 Hannover 12 6 3 3 +11 21
4 Fortuna Dusseldorf 12 6 3 3 +10 21
5 Holstein Kiel 12 6 2 4 +0 20
6 Greuther Furth 12 5 3 4 +3 18
7 Kaiserslautern 12 5 3 4 +1 18
8 Wehen 12 5 3 4 +1 18
9 Paderborn 12 5 3 4 +0 18
10 Elversberg 12 5 3 4 -1 18
11 Nurnberg 12 5 3 4 -2 18
12 Hertha 12 5 1 6 +2 16
13 Magdeburg 12 3 4 5 -1 13
14 Hansa Rostock 12 4 1 7 -6 13
15 Schalke 04 12 4 1 7 -7 13
16 Karlsruhe 12 3 3 6 -4 12
17 Osnabruck 12 1 4 7 -16 7
18 Braunschweig 12 1 2 9 -17 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Schalke 04 Elversberg
Derry Murkin 🟨
7′
7′
P. Stock 0–1
M. Feil
21′
J. Rochelt 0–2
P. Stock
1–2 K. Karaman
T. Ouwejan
35′
37′
🔁 K. Conrad
↦ C. Sickinger
Half-time 1–2
Kenan Karaman 🟨
48′
52′
🟨 Maurice Neubauer
54′
🟨 Kevin Conrad
D. Latza 🔁
↦ D. Drexler
58′
S. Terodde 🔁
↦ B. Lasme
75′
K. Topp 🔁
↦ L. Tempelmann
75′
B. Idrizi 🔁
↦ H. Matriciani
84′
Y. Kabadayı 🔁
↦ D. Murkin
84′
84′
🔁 D. Martinović
↦ L. Schnellbacher
89′
🔁 P. Wanner
↦ M. Feil
89′
🔁 L. Pinckert
↦ P. Stock
Yusuf Kabadayi 🟨
97′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Schalke 04

3-5-2
28 J. Heekeren G
26 T. Kalas D
35 M. Kamiński D
5 D. Murkin D
41 H. Matriciani M
10 L. Tempelmann M
6 R. Schallenberg M
24 D. Drexler M
2 T. Ouwejan M
11 B. Lasme F
19 K. Karaman F
Bench (9)
8 D. Latza
9 S. Terodde
42 K. Topp
18 B. Idrizi
17 Y. Kabadayı
21 N. Tauer
25 T. Baumgartl
40 S. Polter
34 M. Langer

Coach: K. Geraerts

Elversberg

4-4-2
20 N. Kristof G
18 H. Vandermersch D
23 C. Sickinger D
5 F. Jäkel D
33 M. Neubauer D
7 M. Feil M
14 R. Fellhauer M
8 S. Şahin M
10 J. Rochelt M
21 P. Stock F
24 L. Schnellbacher F
Bench (9)
4 K. Conrad
9 D. Martinović
17 P. Wanner
19 L. Pinckert
31 T. Jacobsen
22 J. Boyamba
26 A. Sicker
28 T. Boss
30 K. Koffi

Coach: H. Steffen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,08
U
3,81
B ✓
3,17
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,53
U2,5
2,45
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Petersen · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.