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Premiership
Referee: S McLean
Raith Rovers
U S T S S
1–2
Full-time
Partick
S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Raith Rovers Partick
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 55%
60%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
40%
83%
Both score Ø 44%
20%
67%
Average goals
1,8
3,5
Scored
1,0
2,2
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
This season — Premiership · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 37 28 6 3 +64 90
2 Rangers 37 27 3 7 +55 84
3 Hearts 37 20 7 10 +12 67
4 Kilmarnock 37 14 13 10 +2 55
5 Aberdeen 37 12 11 14 -4 47
6 St Mirren 37 13 8 16 -5 47
7 Hibernian 37 11 12 14 -7 45
8 Motherwell 37 10 13 14 -2 43
9 Dundee 37 10 11 16 -19 41
10 Ross County 37 8 10 19 -29 34
11 ST Johnstone 37 7 11 19 -26 32
12 Livingston 37 5 9 23 -41 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Raith Rovers Partick
Euan Murray 🟨
14′
16′
B. Alston 0–1
Dylan Corr 🟨
17′
1–1 R. Matthews
L. Dick
30′
32′
🟨 Jack McMillan
Half-time 1–2
46′
B. Alston 1–2
Aidan Connolly 🟨
53′
D. Easton 🔁
↦ A. Connolly
62′
69′
🔁 K. Ngwenya
↦ B. Alston
J. Hamilton 🔁
↦ S. Byrne
70′
77′
🟨 Stuart Bannigan
J. Mullin 🔁
↦ D. Corr
82′
90′
🔁 L. Neilson
↦ A. Muirhead
90′
🔁 R. Diack
↦ S. Robinson
105′
🔁 B. Stanway
↦ S. Bannigan
C. Smith 🔁
↦ J. Mullin
114′
Ross Matthews 🟨
120′
121′
B. Stanway 1–3
S. Brown
penalty missed
122′
123′
L. McBeth 1–4
2–4 K. Turner
124′
125′
B. Graham 2–5
126′
J. McMillan
penalty missed
3–5 J. Hamilton
127′
4–5 D. Easton
128′
129′
R. Diack
penalty missed
5–5 L. Vaughan
130′
Full-time 5–5

Line-ups

Raith Rovers

4-2-3-1
1 K. Dąbrowski G
8 R. Matthews M
15 D. Corr D
6 E. Murray D
3 L. Dick D
20 S. Brown M
21 S. Byrne M
7 A. Connolly M
16 S. Stanton M
18 K. Turner M
10 L. Vaughan F
Bench (8)
23 D. Easton
19 J. Hamilton
14 J. Mullin
11 C. Smith
29 Z. Rudden
13 A. McNeil
24 S. McGill
2 J. Brown

Coach: I. Murray

Partick

4-2-3-1
31 D. Mitchell G
2 J. McMillan D
20 D. O'Reilly D
5 A. Muirhead D
3 H. Milne D
8 S. Bannigan M
19 L. McBeth
23 B. Alston M
9 B. Graham F
21 A. Fitzpatrick M
17 S. Robinson M
Bench (9)
12 K. Ngwenya
6 L. Neilson
34 R. Diack
26 B. Stanway
7 K. McInroy
29 Z. Mackenzie
38 C. Loney
25 R. Stewart
36 C. Campbell

Coach: K. Doolan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S McLean · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.