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Ligue 2
Referee: A Kherradji
Rodez
S S S T U
2–0
Full-time
Ajaccio
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rodez Ajaccio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 37%
41%
32%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
59%
38%
Both score Ø 54%
70%
38%
Average goals
3,0
2,1
Scored
1,6
0,9
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

45% Possession 55%
13 Shots 4
5 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 4
1 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rodez 5. · Ajaccio 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Auxerre 37 20 11 6 +33 71
2 Angers 37 20 7 10 +14 67
3 St Etienne 37 19 8 10 +18 65
4 Paris FC 37 16 10 11 +7 58
5 Rodez 37 15 12 10 +9 57
6 Caen 37 16 7 14 +3 55
7 Laval 37 14 10 13 -6 52
8 Guingamp 37 13 12 12 +5 51
9 Pau FC 37 13 12 12 +4 51
10 Grenoble 37 13 12 12 +1 51
11 Amiens 37 11 17 9 -2 50
12 Bastia 37 14 8 15 -4 50
13 Bordeaux 37 13 9 15 -3 48
14 Ajaccio 37 12 10 15 -9 46
15 Annecy 37 12 9 16 -1 45
16 Dunkerque 37 12 9 16 -16 45
17 Troyes 37 9 14 14 -7 41
18 Concarneau 37 10 8 19 -15 38
19 Quevilly Rouen 37 6 17 14 -5 35
20 Valenciennes 37 5 12 20 -26 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rodez Ajaccio
1–0 G. Haag
B. Danger
2′
2–0 A. Hountondji
S. Raux-Yao
6′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 B. Touré
↦ C. Ibayi
50′
🟨 Clement Vidal
59′
🔁 A. Fosse
↦ M. Barreto
R. Lipinski 🔁
↦ A. Abdallah
65′
W. Younoussa 🔁
↦ G. Haag
65′
71′
🔁 C. Bayala
↦ M. Soumano
T. Arconte 🔁
↦ A. Hountondji
74′
L. Buadés 🔁
↦ D. Sylla
74′
Y. Verdier 🔁
↦ K. Corredor
86′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Rodez

3-1-4-2
40 E. Jaouen G
14 B. Danger D
15 S. Raux-Yao D
4 S. Mambo D
24 G. Haag M
11 D. Sylla M
8 L. Rajot M
10 W. Taïbi M
28 A. Abdallah M
12 K. Corredor F
17 A. Hountondji F
Bench (7)
3 R. Lipinski
7 W. Younoussa
22 T. Arconte
19 L. Buadés
26 Y. Verdier
1 S. Cibois
5 K. Boma

Coach: D. Santini

Ajaccio

4-5-1
1 M. Michel G
20 M. Youssouf D
21 C. Avinel D
5 C. Vidal D
31 T. Strata D
4 M. Barreto M
29 H. Sakhi M
6 T. Mangani M
17 Everson M
22 M. Soumano M
18 C. Ibayi F
Bench (7)
11 B. Touré
41 A. Fosse
14 C. Bayala
16 F. Sollacaro
7 R. Nouri
35 A. Khelifa
43 K. Kouassi

Coach: O. Pantaloni

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,49
U
4,22
B
6,14
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,76
U2,5 ✓
2,03
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Kherradji · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.