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Pro League
Referee: A Denil
St Truiden
T T U U S
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 27%
29%
25%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
46%
54%
Both score Ø 59%
57%
61%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,96 xG 1,06
68% Possession 32%
9 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 1
1 Offside 7
10 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Truiden 10. · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Club Brugge 28 18 6 4 +46 +37.4 60
2 St. Gilloise 28 18 5 5 +29 +27.1 59
3 Anderlecht 28 17 7 4 +25 +13.3 58
4 Cercle Brugge 28 17 5 6 +23 +8.2 56
5 Gent 27 14 7 6 +24 +18.4 49
6 Genk 27 12 8 7 +12 +26.0 44
7 Mechelen 28 12 6 10 +4 +2.2 42
8 Antwerp 28 11 7 10 +16 +15.4 40
9 Charleroi 30 9 8 13 -15 -10.5 35
10 St Truiden 28 8 9 11 -15 -13.1 33
11 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 28 7 8 13 -13 -9.2 29
12 Westerlo 28 6 9 13 -8 -11.9 27
13 Standard 28 5 12 11 -16 -12.6 27
14 RWD Molenbeek 30 6 7 17 -36 -32.4 25
15 Kortrijk 30 6 5 19 -37 -24.9 23
16 Eupen 30 5 3 22 -39 -33.3 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Truiden Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Eric Bocat 🟨
37′
Half-time 0–0
F. Kaya 🔁
↦ S. Okazaki
53′
A. Bertaccini 🔁
↦ J. Fujita
60′
A. Koïta 🔁
↦ R. Yamamoto
61′
1–0 F. Kaya
M. Delorge-Knieper
66′
67′
🔁 N. Nsingi
↦ M. Maertens
67′
🔁 J. Þorsteinsson
↦ S. Mueanta
68′
🔁 E. Banzuzi
↦ K. Misao
74′
J. Þorsteinsson 1–1
Y. Maziz
76′
🔁 H. Mendyl
↦ F. Ricca
Matte Smets 🟨
87′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

St Truiden

3-4-2-1
1 Z. Suzuki G
20 R. Van Helden D
16 M. Smets D
31 B. Godeau D
27 F. Ananou M
17 M. Delorge-Knieper M
8 J. Fujita M
77 E. Bocat M
6 R. Yamamoto F
13 R. Ito F
30 S. Okazaki F
Bench (9)
11 F. Kaya
91 A. Bertaccini
7 A. Koïta
23 J. Barnes
12 J. Coppens
53 A. Nhaili
14 O. Dumont
15 K. Zahiroleslam
60 R. Vanwesemael

Coach: T. Fink

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

3-4-2-1
1 T. Leysen G
23 J. Schingtienne D
24 F. Russo D
14 F. Ricca D
30 T. Akimoto M
8 S. Schrijvers M
17 K. Misao M
18 F. Miguel M
33 M. Maertens F
88 Y. Maziz F
19 S. Mueanta F
Bench (9)
43 N. Nsingi
7 J. Þorsteinsson
11 E. Banzuzi
20 H. Mendyl
16 M. Prévot
6 J. Dom
5 P. Ngawa
25 M. Osifo
63 C. Souanga

Coach: Óscar García

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,13
U ✓
3,68
B
3,09
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,56
U2,5 ✓
2,39
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Denil · 23 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.