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Süper Lig
Referee: H Meler
Ankaragücü
S T T S T
3–1
Full-time
Giresunspor
U U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ankaragücü Giresunspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
This season — Süper Lig · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 26%
30%
22%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
56%
56%
Both score Ø 61%
63%
59%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
1,6
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%
20 Shots 3
6 Shots on target 0
4 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 2
5 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ankaragücü 14. · Giresunspor 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Galatasaray 28 22 3 3 +44 69
2 Fenerbahce 28 20 3 5 +36 63
3 Besiktas 29 17 8 4 +27 59
4 Ad. Demirspor 29 15 9 5 +27 54
5 Trabzonspor 28 13 6 9 +7 45
6 Buyuksehyr 28 13 6 9 +7 45
7 Kayserispor 29 14 3 12 +0 45
8 Karagumruk 28 10 10 8 +9 40
9 Konyaspor 29 9 12 8 +4 39
10 Antalyaspor 28 9 6 13 -6 33
11 Kasimpasa 29 9 6 14 -13 33
12 Alanyaspor 29 8 8 13 -13 32
13 Sivasspor 28 8 7 13 -5 31
14 Ankaragücü 27 8 4 15 -11 28
15 İstanbulspor 28 8 4 16 -22 28
16 Giresunspor 27 6 9 12 -20 27
17 Ümraniyespor 29 6 8 15 -11 26
18 Gaziantep 29 6 7 16 -20 25
19 Hatayspor 28 6 5 17 -40 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ankaragücü Giresunspor
44′
L. Diack 1–0
own goal
Half-time 1–0
A. Đokanović 🔁
↦ L. Diack
46′
T. Chatzigiovanis 🔁
↦ G. Zahid
46′
Stelios Kitsiou ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
49′
50′
🟨 Ferhat Kaplan
2–0 A. Sowe
T. Chatzigiovanis
54′
56′
🟨 Ramón Arias
Pedrinho 🔁
↦ E. Kılınç
65′
70′
🔁 A. Uludağ
↦ F. Genç
70′
🔁 D. Davas
↦ B. Kuwas
3–0 T. Antalyalı
74′
77′
🔁 K. Seven
↦ J. Campuzano
Matěj Hanousek 🟨
82′
86′
🔁 R. Berişbek
↦ C. Akpınar
86′
🔁 M. Kurt
↦ Serginho
4–0 A. Sowe
T. Chatzigiovanis
97′
B. Moussiti-Oko 🔁
↦ A. Sowe
98′
A. Kızıldağ 🔁
↦ T. Antalyalı
98′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Ankaragücü

3-4-3
32 G. Akkan G
24 K. Malcuit D
4 A. Çankaya D
18 N. Mujakić D
17 S. Kitsiou M
14 L. Diack M
48 T. Antalyalı M
5 M. Hanousek M
54 E. Kılınç F
22 A. Sowe F
19 G. Zahid F
Bench (10)
16 A. Đokanović
7 T. Chatzigiovanis
8 Pedrinho
29 B. Moussiti-Oko
37 A. Kızıldağ
33 H. Kaldırım
70 Milson
80 S. İmdat
88 F. Üzüm
99 B. Güngördü

Coach: T. Kafkas

Giresunspor

4-2-3-1
35 F. Kaplan G
77 H. Bilazer D
23 G. Sağlam D
21 R. Arias D
99 F. Genç D
30 J. Campuzano M
14 R. Mejía M
11 B. Kuwas M
22 C. Akpınar M
10 Serginho M
9 R. Bajić F
Bench (10)
6 A. Uludağ
17 D. Davas
50 K. Seven
19 R. Berişbek
75 M. Kurt
1 O. Piri
3 A. Kılıç
88 Ş. Dik
74 E. Anapa
2 T. Ülvan

Coach: H. Keleş

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,95
U
3,66
B
3,67
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,69
U2,5
2,15
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

H Meler · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.