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Conference League
Referee: D Massa
AZ Alkmaar
T U T T S
2–0
Full-time
Anderlecht
S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 67%
80%
53%
Points per game
2,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
67%
27%
Both score Ø 37%
47%
27%
Average goals
3,1
1,8
Scored
2,3
1,2
Conceded
0,8
0,6
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

3,60 xG 0,66
55% Possession 45%
27 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 4
8 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 6
9 Offside 4
19 Free kicks against 7
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. Apr -23 Anderlecht – AZ Alkmaar 2–0

Match report

AZ Alkmaar Anderlecht
1–0 V. Pavlidis ⚽
5′
2–0 V. Pavlidis ⚽
J. Odgaard
13′
Tijjani Reijnders 🟨
29′
32′
🟨 Amadou Diawara
Vangelis Pavlidis 🟨
40′
Half-time 2–0
M. Lahdo 🔁
↦ V. Pavlidis
46′
55′
🟨 Francis Amuzu
Miloš Kerkez 🟨
60′
62′
🔁 K. Sardella
↦ A. Murillo
76′
🔁 M. Stroeykens
↦ L. Refaelov
Sven Mijnans 🟨
80′
90′
🔁 K. Arnstad
↦ M. Ashimeru
M. de Wit 🔁
↦ M. Kerkez
101′
M. Meerdink 🔁
↦ M. van Brederode
101′
105′
🔁 N. Angulo
↦ I. Slimani
111′
🔁 M. Kana
↦ A. Diawara
D. Mihailovic 🔁
↦ J. Odgaard
113′
R. Bazoer 🔁
↦ S. Mijnans
113′
Jordy Clasie 🟨
114′
3–0 J. Clasie ⚽
121′
122′
❌ J. Vertonghen
penalty missed
4–0 Y. Sugawara ⚽
123′
124′
⚽ M. Kana 4–1
5–1 T. Reijnders ⚽
125′
126′
❌ K. Sardella
penalty missed
6–1 M. Meerdink ⚽
127′
Full-time 6–1

Line-ups

AZ Alkmaar

4-2-3-1
1 M. Ryan G
2 Y. Sugawara D
31 S. Beukema D
3 P. Hatzidiakos D
5 M. Kerkez D
8 J. Clasie M
6 T. Reijnders M
7 J. Odgaard M
16 S. Mijnans M
19 M. van Brederode M
9 V. Pavlidis F
Bench (11)
23 M. Lahdo
34 M. de Wit
35 M. Meerdink
14 D. Mihailovic
25 R. Bazoer
22 M. Dekker
27 Z. Vanheusden
28 Z. Buurmeester
54 D. Deen
12 H. Verhulst
46 W. Goes

Coach: P. Jansen

Anderlecht

4-5-1
16 B. Verbruggen G
62 A. Murillo D
56 Z. Debast D
14 J. Vertonghen D
5 M. N'Diaye D
36 A. Dreyer M
21 A. Diawara M
11 L. Refaelov M
18 M. Ashimeru M
7 F. Amuzu M
13 I. Slimani F
Bench (12)
54 K. Sardella
29 M. Stroeykens
61 K. Arnstad
32 N. Angulo
55 M. Kana
76 L. Stassin
26 C. Coosemans
3 H. Delcroix
47 L. Lissens
27 N. Sadiki
71 T. Leoni
30 H. Van Crombrugge

Coach: B. Riemer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Massa · 154 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.