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Europa League
Referee: A Taylor
Roma
T S S T S
4–1
Full-time
Feyenoord
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Feyenoord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
1,5
3,7
Scored
1,2
2,7
Conceded
0,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 11/9 matches
Win Ø 45%
45%
44%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
45%
56%
Both score Ø 51%
45%
56%
Average goals
2,2
3,7
Scored
1,4
2,4
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

5,44 xG 1,13
48% Possession 52%
33 Shots 15
13 Shots on target 6
10 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 9
8 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. Apr -23 Feyenoord – Roma 1–0

Match report

Roma Feyenoord
-5′
🟨 Timon Wellenreuther
12′
🟨 Quilindschy Hartman
18′
🟨 Mats Wieffer
S. El Shaarawy 🔁
↦ G. Wijnaldum
21′
Diego Llorente 🟨
34′
39′
🟨 Santiago Giménez
Half-time 1–0
1–0 L. Spinazzola ⚽
B. Cristante
60′
64′
🔁 Igor Paixão
↦ O. Idrissi
Ibañez 🔁
↦ Diego Llorente
72′
P. Dybala 🔁
↦ N. Zalewski
73′
T. Abraham 🔁
↦ A. Belotti
73′
74′
🔁 Danilo
↦ A. Jahanbakhsh
Z. Çelik 🔁
↦ C. Smalling
78′
80′
⚽ Igor Paixão 1–1
S. Szymański
2–1 P. Dybala ⚽
L. Pellegrini
89′
90′
🔁 M. Pedersen
↦ S. Szymański
3–1 S. El Shaarawy ⚽
T. Abraham
101′
M. Kumbulla 🔁
↦ S. El Shaarawy
105′
105′
🔁 J. Dilrosun
↦ M. Wieffer
105′
🔁 M. López
↦ Q. Hartman
105′
🔁 E. Bullaude
↦ G. Trauner
Paulo Dybala 🟨
108′
4–1 L. Pellegrini ⚽
109′
Tammy Abraham ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
110′
Tammy Abraham 🟨
111′
Rui Patrício 🟨
118′
120′
🟥 Santiago Giménez
120′
ℹ️ Santiago Giménez
VAR: Card upgrade
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Roma

3-4-2-1
1 Rui Patrício G
23 G. Mancini D
6 C. Smalling D
14 Diego Llorente D
59 N. Zalewski M
4 B. Cristante M
8 N. Matić M
37 L. Spinazzola M
25 G. Wijnaldum F
7 L. Pellegrini F
11 A. Belotti F
Bench (12)
92 S. El Shaarawy
3 Ibañez
21 P. Dybala
9 T. Abraham
19 Z. Çelik
24 M. Kumbulla
20 M. Camara
62 C. Volpato
68 B. Tahirović
99 M. Svilar
52 E. Bove
63 P. Boer

Coach: José Mourinho

Feyenoord

4-2-3-1
1 J. Bijlow G
4 L. Geertruida D
18 G. Trauner D
33 D. Hancko D
5 Q. Hartman D
10 O. Kökçü M
20 M. Wieffer M
7 A. Jahanbakhsh M
17 S. Szymański M
26 O. Idrissi M
29 S. Giménez F
Bench (12)
14 Igor Paixão
9 Danilo
2 M. Pedersen
11 J. Dilrosun
15 M. López
30 E. Bullaude
48 A. Milambo
28 N. Kasanwirjo
21 O. Marciano
25 M. Taabouni
6 J. Rasmussen
22 T. Wellenreuther

Coach: A. Slot

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Taylor · 215 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.