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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: Magnus Nicolai Koløy
Sogndal
S T S S U
1–5
Full-time
Lillestrom
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sogndal Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
67%
100%
Points per game
2,2
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,2
4,3
Scored
1,8
3,3
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+2,3
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 62%
48%
76%
Points per game
1,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 62%
81%
43%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
1,8
2,4
Conceded
1,5
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Sogndal 3. · Lillestrom 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lillestrom 21 16 5 0 +38 53
2 Start 21 12 5 4 +18 41
3 Sogndal 21 10 5 6 +7 35
4 Aalesund 19 8 8 3 +10 32
5 Lyn 21 9 5 7 +9 32
6 Kongsvinger 20 8 7 5 +7 31
7 Egersund 19 8 5 6 +0 29
8 Raufoss 21 6 8 7 +0 26
9 Ranheim 20 7 5 8 -9 26
10 Asane 21 6 7 8 -5 25
11 Moss 21 7 4 10 -10 25
12 Odd 21 6 6 9 -3 24
13 hodd 21 6 6 9 -10 24
14 Stabaek 21 3 8 10 -12 17
15 Mjondalen 21 3 6 12 -24 15
16 Skeid 21 1 8 12 -16 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sogndal Lillestrom
4′
M. Karlsbakk 0–1
E. Kitolano
1–1 K. Skaanes
J. Flaten
24′
Half-time 1–2
46′
T. Olsen 1–2
Y. Paintsil
49′
L. Ranger 1–3
S. Drammeh
64′
S. Drammeh 1–4
E. Kitolano
V. Hagen 🔁
↦ J. Flaten
68′
T. Pippola 🔁
↦ L. Vapne
68′
M. Hoyland 🔁
↦ P. Flo
70′
74′
🔁 Felix Va
↦ S. Drammeh
74′
🔁 M. Diop
↦ T. Olsen
P. Asp 🔁
↦ O. Hintsa
78′
82′
🟨 Felix Va
83′
🔁 S. Foss
↦ E. B. Garnas
83′
🔁 K. Tonnesen
↦ F. Elkaer
83′
🔁 H. Woxen
↦ Y. Paintsil
90′
M. Karlsbakk 1–5
R. Gabrielsen
Full-time 1–5

Line-ups

Sogndal

1 L. Jendal
2 D. Bras
17 M. Sjolstad
13 P. Flo
4 R. Holten
33 S. A. Granheim
10 K. Skaanes
8 J. Flaten
9 O. Hintsa
7 S. Pedersen
16 L. Vapne
Bench (9)
21 D. Saetren
6 M. Hoyland
18 V. Hagen
19 T. Pippola
20 P. Asp
22 A. Kalstad
31 J. Nundal
34 K. Kongelf
38 A. Sundal

Coach: Luís Berkemeier Pimenta

Lillestrom

12 M. Hedenstad
2 L. Ranger
11 F. Elkaer
6 V. Hoff
4 E. B. Garnas
28 R. Gabrielsen
8 M. Karlsbakk
17 E. Kitolano
10 T. Olsen
15 S. Drammeh
26 Y. Paintsil
Bench (9)
1 S. Hagerup
5 S. Foss
19 K. Tonnesen
20 Felix Va
30 L. Svenningsen
31 A. C. Ntiso
32 H. Woxen
33 M. Diop
64 E. Larsson

Coach: Hans Erik Ødegaard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.