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Süper Lig
Referee: Atilla Karaoglan
Kasimpasa
T T U T S
1–2
Full-time
Erzurumspor
T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kasimpasa Erzurumspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
2,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-1,2
This season — Süper Lig · 17/18 matches
Win Ø 26%
35%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
53%
61%
Both score Ø 49%
41%
56%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,2
0,9
Conceded
1,6
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%
12 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 2
0 Offside 4
18 Free kicks against 21
5 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kasimpasa 15. · Erzurumspor 21.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Besiktas 18 12 2 4 +20 38
2 Fenerbahce 17 11 2 4 +14 35
3 Gaziantep 18 9 7 2 +13 34
4 Galatasaray 18 10 3 5 +18 33
5 Hatayspor 18 9 4 5 +5 31
6 Alanyaspor 18 9 3 6 +13 30
7 Karagumruk 18 7 6 5 +6 27
8 Trabzonspor 18 7 6 5 -1 27
9 Antalyaspor 19 6 7 6 -6 25
10 Yeni Malatyaspor 18 6 6 6 +1 24
11 Sivasspor 18 5 8 5 -2 23
12 Buyuksehyr 18 6 5 7 -4 23
13 Konyaspor 18 6 4 8 +2 22
14 Goztep 18 5 7 6 +2 22
15 Kasimpasa 17 6 4 7 -7 22
16 Rizespor 18 5 6 7 -11 21
17 Genclerbirligi 18 5 4 9 -15 19
18 Kayserispor 18 4 4 10 -11 16
19 Ankaragücü 17 4 3 10 -7 15
20 Denizlispor 18 3 5 10 -13 14
21 Erzurumspor 18 3 4 11 -17 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kasimpasa Erzurumspor
31′
C. Alkılıç 0–1
Half-time 0–1
H. Hajradinović 🔁
↦ E. Elmalı
46′
Derrick Luckassen 🟨
58′
64′
🟨 Aatif Chahechouhe
Yusuf Erdoğan 🟨
66′
68′
Ricardo Gomes 0–2
A. Chahechouhe
71′
🟨 Petrus Boumal
A. Koç 🔁
↦ D. Haspolat
73′
1–2 I. Thelin
73′
80′
🔁 O. Karakullukçu
↦ Ricardo Gomes
80′
🔁 M. Donald
↦ A. Chahechouhe
80′
🔁 A. Novikovas
↦ C. Alkılıç
Kevin Varga 🟨
84′
86′
🟨 Jakub Szumski
89′
🟨 Oltan Karakullukçu
Haris Hajradinović 🟨
90′
Derrick Luckassen 🟨
90′
Derrick Luckassen 🟥
90′
93′
🔁 Ö. Şişmanoğlu
↦ E. Başsan
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Kasimpasa

4-2-3-1
1 R. Köse G
25 T. Břečka D
94 F. Hadërgjonaj D
32 D. Luckassen D
18 E. Elmalı D
35 A. Kara M
11 Y. Erdoğan M
21 K. Varga M
34 D. Haspolat M
30 A. Hodžić M
92 I. Thelin F
Bench (10)
10 H. Hajradinović
7 A. Koç
80 H. Yeşilyurt
99 O. Özcan
33 E. Taşkıran
55 Y. Dülger
37 Ç. Kurukalıp
23 M. Yıldırım
22 E. Canpolat
28 F. Külekçi

Coach: F. Çapa

Erzurumspor

4-2-3-1
29 J. Szumski G
27 M. da Costa D
30 A. Teikeu D
99 C. Alkılıç M
22 L. Schwechlen D
8 J. Omolo M
92 A. Chahechouhe M
17 E. Başsan M
13 P. Boumal M
77 M. Uçar D
91 Ricardo Gomes F
Bench (10)
61 O. Karakullukçu
20 M. Donald
11 A. Novikovas
7 Ö. Şişmanoğlu
5 H. Hatipoğlu
33 K. Erdoğan
23 G. Kardeş
70 B. Darri
53 M. Albayrak
55 Ö. Sert

Coach: M. Bakkal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,92
U
3,59
B ✓
3,91
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,50
U2,5
2,51
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Atilla Karaoglan · 30 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,43 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.