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Super League
Referee: P Zachariadis
Panetolikos
T U T T T
2–1
Full-time
Larisa
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panetolikos Larisa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,7
Scored
0,3
0,7
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-1,3
This season — Super League · 11/10 matches
Win Ø 5%
0%
10%
Points per game
0,4
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
18%
50%
Both score Ø 43%
36%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,4
Scored
0,4
0,6
Conceded
1,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
4 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 7
0 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 17
4 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panetolikos 14. · Larisa 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 10 9 1 0 +19 28
2 PAOK 10 7 3 0 +13 24
3 Aris Thessalonikis 10 7 2 1 +9 23
4 Aris 10 7 2 1 +9 23
5 AEK 9 6 1 2 +9 19
6 Panathinaikos 12 4 3 5 +0 15
7 Atromitos 12 3 6 3 -4 15
8 Giannina 12 3 4 5 +0 13
9 Volos NFC 11 3 4 4 -4 13
10 OFI Crete 11 3 3 5 -4 12
11 Asteras Tripolis 11 3 3 5 -4 12
12 Apollon 11 2 3 6 -5 9
13 Larisa 10 1 3 6 -12 6
14 Panetolikos 11 0 4 7 -11 4
15 Lamia 10 0 2 8 -15 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panetolikos Larisa
1–0 N. Vergos
A. Jakoliš
16′
29′
🟨 Radomir Milosavljević
29′
🟨 Alexis Michael
Half-time 1–0
56′
🟨 Theocharis Iliadis
J. Mendoza 🔁
↦ G. Ariyibi
57′
Jorge Díaz 🟨
58′
60′
🔁 S. Glinos
↦ T. Iliadis
Antonio Jakoliš 🟨
62′
62′
🟨 Fiorin Durmishaj
68′
🟨 Steliano Filip
J. Arzura 🔁
↦ A. Jakoliš
68′
70′
🟨 Nikola Žižić
N. Melissas 🔁
↦ C. Knett
76′
E. Pereyra 🔁
↦ A. Tahar
77′
Nikos Vergos 🟨
80′
86′
🔁 M. Mužek
↦ N. Trujić
87′
🔁 H. Younès
↦ A. Michail
2–0 N. Vergos
87′
Nikolaos Melissas 🟨
90′
95′
H. Younès 2–1
S. Filip
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Panetolikos

4-2-3-1
1 C. Knett G
27 M. Tzanakakis D
54 G. Liavas D
66 A. Konstantopoulos D
6 A. Tahar M
92 A. Jakoliš M
11 J. Díaz M
10 Dálcio M
37 A. Tsigaras M
29 N. Vergos F
12 G. Ariyibi M
Bench (9)
30 J. Mendoza
5 J. Arzura
22 N. Melissas
21 E. Pereyra
25 V. Skiadas
2 P. Medina
8 M. Azadi
14 Frederico Duarte
15 J. Álvarez

Coach: T. Dellas

Larisa

5-3-2
1 G. Nagy G
25 M. Bertos D
5 A. Michail D
16 N. Žižić D
7 S. Filip D
4 T. Iliadis D
6 T. Sparv M
92 N. Trujić F
8 R. Milosavljević M
9 F. Durmishaj F
17 D. Pinakas F
Bench (9)
14 S. Glinos
13 M. Mužek
99 H. Younès
18 A. Kotsianoulis
19 V. Bajić
27 D. Loufakis
21 G. Zacharakis
23 G. Maidanos
70 G. Daktylas

Coach: G. Tatsis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,46
U
2,71
B
3,27
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,68
U2,5
1,44
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Zachariadis · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
6,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
36,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,41 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.