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Bundesliga

Referee: F Badstübner

Hoffenheim

U T T U U

3–1

Full-time

Augsburg

T S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hoffenheim Augsburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,8

This season — Bundesliga · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 28%

22%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

67%

44%

Both score Ø 73%

89%

56%

Average goals

3,4

2,6

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,1

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%

10 Shots 13

7 Shots on target 3

0 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 3

7 Offside 6

15 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hoffenheim 13. · Augsburg 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	10	7	2	1	+18	23
2	Leverkusen	10	6	4	0	+10	22
3	RB Leipzig	10	6	3	1	+12	21
4	Dortmund	10	6	1	3	+12	19
5	Wolfsburg	10	4	6	0	+6	18
6	Union Berlin	10	4	4	2	+8	16
7	M'gladbach	10	4	4	2	+3	16
8	Stuttgart	10	3	5	2	+3	14
9	Ein Frankfurt	10	2	7	1	-2	13
10	Augsburg	9	3	3	3	-1	12
11	Hertha	10	3	2	5	-1	11
12	Werder Bremen	10	2	5	3	-3	11
13	Hoffenheim	9	2	3	4	-1	9
14	Freiburg	10	1	5	4	-10	8
15	FC Koln	10	1	4	5	-5	7
16	Bielefeld	10	2	1	7	-12	7
17	Mainz	10	1	2	7	-12	5
18	Schalke 04	10	0	3	7	-25	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	5	5	0	0	+11	15
2	Bayern Munich	5	3	2	0	+14	11
3	Wolfsburg	5	3	2	0	+4	11
4	Dortmund	5	3	0	2	+8	9
5	M'gladbach	5	2	3	0	+4	9
6	Union Berlin	5	2	2	1	+7	8
7	Leverkusen	4	2	2	0	+3	8
8	Ein Frankfurt	5	1	4	0	+1	7
9	Augsburg	5	2	1	2	-1	7
10	Bielefeld	5	2	0	3	-4	6
11	Werder Bremen	5	1	2	2	-3	5
12	Hoffenheim	4	1	1	2	+0	4
13	Hertha	5	1	1	3	-5	4
14	Stuttgart	5	0	3	2	-3	3
15	Freiburg	5	0	3	2	-4	3
16	FC Koln	6	0	2	4	-5	2
17	Mainz	5	0	2	3	-5	2
18	Schalke 04	5	0	2	3	-7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leverkusen	6	4	2	0	+7	14
2	Bayern Munich	5	4	0	1	+4	12
3	Stuttgart	5	3	2	0	+6	11
4	Dortmund	5	3	1	1	+4	10
5	Union Berlin	5	2	2	1	+1	8
6	Hertha	5	2	1	2	+4	7
7	Wolfsburg	5	1	4	0	+2	7
8	M'gladbach	5	2	1	2	-1	7
9	RB Leipzig	5	1	3	1	+1	6
10	Werder Bremen	5	1	3	1	+0	6
11	Ein Frankfurt	5	1	3	1	-3	6
12	Augsburg	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	FC Koln	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Hoffenheim	5	1	2	2	-1	5
15	Freiburg	5	1	2	2	-6	5
16	Mainz	5	1	0	4	-7	3
17	Bielefeld	5	0	1	4	-8	1
18	Schalke 04	5	0	1	4	-18	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.