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Eliteserien
Referee: Sigurd Smehus Kringstad
Valerenga
S S U U U
1–0
Full-time
Rosenborg
S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Rosenborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
0,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,0
This season — Eliteserien · 27/26 matches
Win Ø 49%
48%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
52%
69%
Both score Ø 63%
67%
58%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,6
1,8
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
12 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Valerenga 3. · Rosenborg 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 28 24 3 1 +64 75
2 Molde 27 18 2 7 +35 56
3 Valerenga 27 13 9 5 +13 48
4 Rosenborg 26 13 6 7 +13 45
5 Kristiansund 27 11 11 5 +13 44
6 Viking 28 12 7 9 +5 43
7 Odd 25 13 3 9 +8 42
8 Haugesund 28 10 6 12 -10 36
9 Stabaek 28 8 11 9 -8 35
10 Brann 28 8 8 12 -10 32
11 Sandefjord 27 9 5 13 -12 32
12 Sarpsborg 08 28 8 7 13 -5 31
13 Start 28 6 8 14 -19 26
14 Stromsgodset 27 5 10 12 -17 25
15 Mjondalen 28 7 3 18 -21 24
16 Aalesund 28 2 5 21 -49 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valerenga Rosenborg
F. Myhre 🔁
↦ S. Adekugbe
6′
Herolind Shala 🟨
22′
22′
🟨 Dino Islamović
31′
🟨 Tore Reginiussen
Ivan Näsberg 🟨
37′
45′
🟨 Markus Henriksen
45′
🟨 Dino Islamović
45′
🟥 Dino Islamović
Half-time 0–0
B. Finne 🔁
↦ H. Shala
62′
F. Jensen 🔁
↦ M. Lekven
66′
73′
🔁 R. Wiedesheim-Paul
↦ C. Holse
1–0 A. Dønnum
J. Bjørdal
76′
83′
🔁 E. Ceïde
↦ A. Konradsen
83′
🔁 G. Åsen
↦ P. Skjelbred
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Valerenga

4-3-3
13 K. Klaesson G
3 J. Bjørdal D
22 I. Näsberg D
25 S. Adekugbe D
2 C. Borchgrevink D
8 M. Lekven M
6 H. Shala M
7 H. Bjørdal M
9 A. Dønnum F
26 O. Sahraoui F
24 V. Kjartansson F
Bench (9)
23 F. Myhre
11 B. Finne
14 F. Jensen
1 K. Haug
15 O. Holm
20 B. Stokke
10 M. Vilhjálmsson
31 B. Skaret
4 J. Nation

Coach: D. Fagermo

Rosenborg

4-3-3
1 A. Hansen G
4 T. Reginiussen D
16 E. Hovland D
2 V. Hedenstad D
21 E. Reitan D
5 P. Skjelbred M
8 A. Konradsen M
7 M. Henriksen M
18 K. Zachariassen F
9 D. Islamović F
11 C. Holse F
Bench (8)
14 R. Wiedesheim-Paul
35 E. Ceïde
22 G. Åsen
15 H. Eyjólfsson
13 J. Lund
28 S. Adegbenro
20 E. Tagseth
25 P. Konate

Coach: Å. Hareide

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Sigurd Smehus Kringstad · 73 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.