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La Liga
Referee: Javier Estrada
Eibar
S T U U S
0–0
Full-time
Valencia
T U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Valencia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
0%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
1,2
3,3
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
0,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
This season — La Liga · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 27%
27%
27%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
27%
64%
Both score Ø 55%
36%
73%
Average goals
1,5
3,1
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%
19 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 0
0 Offside 5
15 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eibar 13. · Valencia 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 10 8 2 0 +19 26
2 Sociedad 12 7 4 1 +17 25
3 Villarreal 12 5 6 1 +4 21
4 Real Madrid 11 6 2 3 +5 20
5 Cadiz 12 5 3 4 -2 18
6 Sevilla 10 5 1 4 +3 16
7 Granada 11 4 3 4 -6 15
8 Betis 12 5 0 7 -9 15
9 Barcelona 10 4 2 4 +9 14
10 Elche 10 3 5 2 -1 14
11 Alaves 12 3 5 4 -2 14
12 Ath Bilbao 11 4 1 6 +0 13
13 Eibar 11 3 4 4 -1 13
14 Getafe 11 3 4 4 -4 13
15 Celta 12 3 4 5 -7 13
16 Valencia 11 3 3 5 +0 12
17 Levante 11 2 5 4 -2 11
18 Osasuna 11 3 2 6 -7 11
19 Valladolid 12 2 4 6 -7 10
20 Huesca 12 0 8 4 -9 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Valencia
Esteban Burgos 🟨
42′
Anaitz Arbilla 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–0
57′
🟨 Uroš Račić
Sergio Álvarez 🟨
69′
Alejandro Pozo 🔁
↦ T. Inui
70′
70′
🔁 K. Gameiro
↦ Manu Vallejo
70′
🔁 Jason
↦ Y. Musah
Sergi Enrich 🔁
↦ Y. Muto
83′
84′
🔁 Thierry Correia
↦ Toni Lato
Recio 🔁
↦ Sergio Álvarez
88′
90′
🟨 Maximiliano Gómez
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Eibar

4-4-2
1 M. Dmitrović G
23 Arbilla D
3 Bigas D
20 Rober Correa D
2 E. Burgos D
14 T. Inui M
6 Sergio Álvarez M
10 Edu Expósito M
17 Kike F
12 Y. Muto F
25 Bryan Gil M
Bench (12)
22 Alejandro Pozo
9 Sergi Enrich
18 Recio
19 D. Kądzior
11 Rafa
21 Pedro León
24 Kévin Rodrigues
5 José Martínez
16 Roberto Olabe
13 Yoel
4 Paulo Oliveira
32 Unai Arieta

Coach: Mendilibar

Valencia

4-4-2
1 Jaume Doménech G
4 E. Mangala D
5 Gabriel Paulista D
3 Toni Lato D
18 D. Wass D
7 Gonçalo Guedes M
8 Carlos Soler M
19 U. Račić M
30 Y. Musah M
22 M. Gómez F
21 Manu Vallejo F
Bench (9)
9 K. Gameiro
23 Jason
2 Thierry Correia
12 M. Diakhaby
26 Vicente Esquerdo
42 Unai Etxebarría
25 Cristian Rivero
11 Sobrino
37 Álex Blanco

Coach: Javi Gracia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,49
U ✓
3,16
B
3,00
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,26
U2,5 ✓
1,63
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Javier Estrada · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.