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Super League
Referee: I Bebek
0–1
Full-time
AEK
U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis AEK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
This season — Super League · 15/16 matches
Win Ø 65%
67%
63%
Points per game
2,2
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
40%
50%
Both score Ø 39%
27%
50%
Average goals
2,1
2,6
Scored
1,5
1,6
Conceded
0,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
3 Shots 6
1 Shots on target 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 1
3 Offside 2
22 Free kicks against 30
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 2. · AEK 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 17 14 3 0 +37 45
2 Aris Thessalonikis 15 10 3 2 +13 33
3 Aris 16 10 3 3 +12 33
4 AEK 16 10 3 3 +10 33
5 PAOK 17 9 5 3 +13 32
6 Panathinaikos 17 7 4 6 +4 25
7 Atromitos 17 5 7 5 -5 22
8 Asteras Tripolis 17 5 6 6 -5 21
9 OFI Crete 17 5 4 8 -8 19
10 Volos NFC 18 4 7 7 -9 19
11 Giannina 18 3 8 7 -4 17
12 Apollon 16 4 3 9 -5 15
13 Panetolikos 17 2 5 10 -12 11
14 Larisa 16 1 5 10 -20 8
15 Lamia 16 2 2 12 -21 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aris Thessalonikis AEK
20′
🔁 Ž. Laci
↦ I. Nedelcearu
30′
🟨 Nenad Krstičić
Half-time 0–0
60′
🔁 P. Mandalos
↦ N. Krstičić
60′
🔁 M. Livaja
↦ T. Macheras
M. García 🔁
↦ Xande Silva
63′
65′
L. Garcia 0–1
69′
🟨 Marko Livaja
74′
🟨 Karim Ansarifard
Cristian López 🔁
↦ D. Manos
75′
75′
🔁 Y. Shakhov
↦ L. Garcia
86′
🟨 Konstantinos Galanopoulos
J. Jeggo 🔁
↦ E. Sakic
87′
N. Ioannou 🔁
↦ Lucas Sasha
87′
Daniel Sundgren 🟨
90′
Yohan Benalouane 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Aris Thessalonikis

4-2-3-1
30 Z. Boucher G
29 Y. Benalouane D
21 D. Sundgren M
92 L. Rose D
66 E. Sakic M
16 Bruno Gama M
26 Matilla M
88 Lucas Sasha M
7 D. Mancini M
9 D. Manos F
17 Xande Silva F
Bench (9)
10 M. García
11 Cristian López
6 J. Jeggo
44 N. Ioannou
20 E. Kaçe
22 C. Ganea
40 P. Bagalianis
5 G. Delizisis
99 M. Siampanis

Coach: A. Mantzios

AEK

4-3-3
30 G. Athanasiadis G
2 M. Bakakis D
3 Hélder Lopes D
5 I. Nedelcearu D
24 E. Svarnas D
6 N. Krstičić M
8 André Simões M
25 K. Galanopoulos M
53 T. Macheras F
11 K. Ansarifard F
9 L. Garcia F
Bench (9)
15 Ž. Laci
20 P. Mandalos
10 M. Livaja
28 Y. Shakhov
18 Nélson Oliveira
14 C. Albanis
4 D. Szymański
1 P. Tsintotas
17 M. Tankovic

Coach: Manolo Jiménez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.