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Eredivisie

Referee: M Nagtegaal

Willem II

T T T U T

2–3

Full-time

Groningen

S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II Groningen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,8

2,3

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

2,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,7

This season — Eredivisie · 15/14 matches

Win Ø 35%

13%

57%

Points per game

0,6

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

67%

43%

Both score Ø 55%

60%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,4

Scored

1,1

1,3

Conceded

2,1

1,1

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,2

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%

16 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 5

5 Offside 1

5 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Willem II 17. · Groningen 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	16	12	2	2	+44	38
2	Vitesse	16	11	2	3	+15	35
3	PSV Eindhoven	16	10	4	2	+20	34
4	Feyenoord	14	10	3	1	+20	33
5	AZ Alkmaar	16	8	7	1	+15	31
6	Twente	16	8	3	5	+9	27
7	Groningen	14	8	2	4	+3	26
8	Heerenveen	16	5	6	5	-1	21
9	Sparta Rotterdam	15	6	2	7	+0	20
10	Heracles	16	5	3	8	-7	18
11	Zwolle	16	3	8	5	-7	17
12	Utrecht	14	3	7	4	-4	16
13	For Sittard	16	4	4	8	-11	16
14	VVV Venlo	16	4	3	9	-18	15
15	Waalwijk	16	3	4	9	-14	13
16	Den Haag	16	2	4	10	-24	10
17	Willem II	15	2	3	10	-15	9
18	FC Emmen	16	0	5	11	-25	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitesse	8	7	1	0	+12	22
2	PSV Eindhoven	8	7	0	1	+13	21
3	Ajax	8	6	1	1	+19	19
4	Feyenoord	6	4	2	0	+8	14
5	AZ Alkmaar	7	4	2	1	+7	14
6	Groningen	8	4	2	2	+2	14
7	Heerenveen	8	3	2	3	+1	11
8	Twente	9	3	2	4	+0	11
9	Heracles	8	3	1	4	+4	10
10	Utrecht	7	2	4	1	+0	10
11	Zwolle	8	2	4	2	+0	10
12	Sparta Rotterdam	8	2	2	4	+0	8
13	For Sittard	8	2	2	4	-5	8
14	VVV Venlo	8	2	2	4	-16	8
15	Willem II	7	2	1	4	-5	7
16	Waalwijk	8	1	3	4	-6	6
17	FC Emmen	8	0	3	5	-12	3
18	Den Haag	8	0	2	6	-12	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	8	6	1	1	+25	19
2	Feyenoord	8	6	1	1	+12	19
3	AZ Alkmaar	9	4	5	0	+8	17
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	+9	16
5	PSV Eindhoven	8	3	4	1	+7	13
6	Vitesse	8	4	1	3	+3	13
7	Groningen	6	4	0	2	+1	12
8	Sparta Rotterdam	7	4	0	3	+0	12
9	Heerenveen	8	2	4	2	-2	10
10	For Sittard	8	2	2	4	-6	8
11	Heracles	8	2	2	4	-11	8
12	Den Haag	8	2	2	4	-12	8
13	VVV Venlo	8	2	1	5	-2	7
14	Zwolle	8	1	4	3	-7	7
15	Waalwijk	8	2	1	5	-8	7
16	Utrecht	7	1	3	3	-4	6
17	Willem II	8	0	2	6	-10	2
18	FC Emmen	8	0	2	6	-13	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.