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Eredivisie
Referee: M van den Kerkhof
Heerenveen
U U T T T
1–1
Full-time
Waalwijk
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Waalwijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 27%
33%
20%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
60%
47%
Both score Ø 57%
67%
47%
Average goals
3,1
2,7
Scored
1,5
0,9
Conceded
1,6
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
10 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 9
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heerenveen 9. · Waalwijk 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 15 11 2 2 +42 35
2 Vitesse 16 11 2 3 +15 35
3 PSV Eindhoven 16 10 4 2 +20 34
4 Feyenoord 14 10 3 1 +20 33
5 AZ Alkmaar 16 8 7 1 +15 31
6 Twente 15 8 3 4 +11 27
7 Groningen 14 8 2 4 +3 26
8 Sparta Rotterdam 15 6 2 7 +0 20
9 Heerenveen 15 5 5 5 -1 20
10 Heracles 16 5 3 8 -7 18
11 Zwolle 16 3 8 5 -7 17
12 Utrecht 14 3 7 4 -4 16
13 For Sittard 16 4 4 8 -11 16
14 VVV Venlo 16 4 3 9 -18 15
15 Waalwijk 15 3 3 9 -14 12
16 Den Haag 16 2 4 10 -24 10
17 Willem II 15 2 3 10 -15 9
18 FC Emmen 16 0 5 11 -25 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heerenveen Waalwijk
1–0 H. Veerman
J. Veerman
7′
Half-time 1–0
47′
🟨 Richard van der Venne
56′
R. van der Venne 1–1
T. Lutonda
57′
🔁 S. Sow
↦ J. Efmorfidis
58′
🔁 O. John
↦ L. Daneels
B. Nygren 🔁
↦ A. van der Heide
61′
S. de Jong 🔁
↦ T. Halilović
61′
Mitchell Van Bergen 🟨
78′
87′
🔁 V. Damaşcan
↦ F. Stokkers
88′
🔁 S. Augustijns
↦ R. van der Venne
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Heerenveen

4-3-3
1 E. Mulder G
5 L. Woudenberg D
25 P. Bochniewicz D
14 I. Dresevic D
44 T. Halilović M
21 R. Kongolo M
20 J. Veerman M
18 H. Akujobi D
9 H. Veerman F
11 M. van Bergen F
16 A. van der Heide F
Bench (10)
8 B. Nygren
6 S. de Jong
42 S. van Ottele
15 S. Dewaele
3 J. van Hecke
4 J. Fernández
23 J. Bekkema
17 R. Hajal
10 O. Meier
22 A. Harush

Coach: J. Jansen

Waalwijk

4-3-3
31 K. Lamprou G
59 A. Touba D
20 T. Lutonda D
3 M. Meulensteen D
10 R. van der Venne M
8 A. Tahiri M
16 A. Azhil M
21 L. Daneels F
9 F. Stokkers F
28 S. Bakari D
30 J. Efmorfidis F
Bench (9)
19 S. Sow
11 O. John
99 V. Damaşcan
26 S. Augustijns
15 L. Nieuwpoort
27 D. Min
2 J. Gaari
12 H. Mulder
22 M. Grim

Coach: F. Grim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,58
U ✓
4,10
B
5,41
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,57
U2,5 ✓
2,37
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M van den Kerkhof · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.