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Super League

Referee: A Kulbakov

Aris Thessalonikis

S T U T T

1–4

Full-time

AEK

U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis AEK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,3

Scored

1,2

2,2

Conceded

2,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+1,0

This season — Super League · 31/35 matches

Win Ø 42%

29%

54%

Points per game

1,2

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

48%

46%

Both score Ø 54%

58%

49%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,4

1,7

Conceded

1,4

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

40% Possession 60%

2 Shots 16

1 Shots on target 10

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 5

0 Offside 3

9 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 8. · AEK 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	34	28	6	0	+57	90
2	PAOK	35	21	8	6	+28	71
3	AEK	35	19	10	6	+27	67
4	Panathinaikos	34	14	12	8	+9	54
5	Atromitos	32	11	8	13	-2	41
6	Asteras Tripolis	33	10	10	13	+0	40
7	OFI Crete	35	11	7	17	-7	40
8	Aris Thessalonikis	31	9	11	11	+2	38
9	Aris	32	9	11	12	-1	38
10	Larisa	32	9	10	13	-9	37
11	Lamia	32	6	16	10	-13	34
12	Xanthi	32	9	7	16	-14	34
13	Volos NFC	33	9	7	17	-28	34
14	Panionios	32	7	7	18	-28	28
15	Panetolikos	32	5	10	17	-21	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	18	17	1	0	+37	52
2	PAOK	17	11	3	3	+18	36
3	AEK	18	9	7	2	+17	34
4	Panathinaikos	17	10	4	3	+17	34
5	OFI Crete	17	9	4	4	+13	31
6	Asteras Tripolis	17	7	7	3	+11	28
7	Aris Thessalonikis	15	8	2	5	+12	26
8	Aris	16	8	2	6	+9	26
9	Volos NFC	16	7	4	5	-1	25
10	Atromitos	16	6	6	4	+8	24
11	Larisa	16	6	4	6	+3	22
12	Panetolikos	16	5	6	5	+1	21
13	Xanthi	16	5	6	5	+1	21
14	Lamia	16	4	9	3	-1	21
15	Panionios	16	5	5	6	+0	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	16	11	5	0	+20	38
2	PAOK	18	10	5	3	+10	35
3	AEK	17	10	3	4	+10	33
4	Panathinaikos	17	4	8	5	-8	20
5	Atromitos	16	5	2	9	-10	17
6	Larisa	16	3	6	7	-12	15
7	Lamia	16	2	7	7	-12	13
8	Xanthi	16	4	1	11	-15	13
9	Aris Thessalonikis	16	1	9	6	-10	12
10	Aris	16	1	9	6	-10	12
11	Asteras Tripolis	16	3	3	10	-11	12
12	OFI Crete	18	2	3	13	-20	9
13	Volos NFC	17	2	3	12	-27	9
14	Panionios	16	2	2	12	-28	8
15	Panetolikos	16	0	4	12	-22	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.