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Super League

Referee: D Makkelie

Olympiakos

S S S U S

3–0

Full-time

AEK

S T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos AEK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 92%

83%

100%

Average goals

4,2

4,0

Scored

3,3

2,3

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+2,5

+0,7

This season — Super League · 13/12 matches

Win Ø 72%

85%

58%

Points per game

2,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

54%

58%

Both score Ø 57%

46%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

2,7

1,9

Conceded

0,5

1,1

Goal diff per game

+2,2

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%

7 Shots 5

3 Shots on target 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 1

2 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Olympiakos 1. · AEK 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	13	11	2	0	+29	35
2	Aris Thessalonikis	12	9	2	1	+13	29
3	Aris	12	9	2	1	+13	29
4	PAOK	14	8	4	2	+12	28
5	AEK	12	7	3	2	+10	24
6	Panathinaikos	15	5	4	6	+1	19
7	Asteras Tripolis	15	4	6	5	-2	18
8	Volos NFC	14	3	7	4	-4	16
9	Apollon	14	4	3	7	-3	15
10	Atromitos	13	3	6	4	-6	15
11	OFI Crete	15	4	3	8	-10	15
12	Giannina	15	3	5	7	-4	14
13	Panetolikos	15	2	5	8	-10	11
14	Larisa	14	1	4	9	-18	7
15	Lamia	11	0	2	9	-21	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	7	7	0	0	+19	21
2	PAOK	6	5	1	0	+8	16
3	Aris Thessalonikis	6	4	1	1	+4	13
4	Aris	6	4	1	1	+4	13
5	AEK	7	3	3	1	+6	12
6	Asteras Tripolis	6	3	2	1	+3	11
7	Panathinaikos	8	3	2	3	+1	11
8	Atromitos	7	2	3	2	-1	9
9	Panetolikos	8	2	1	5	-5	7
10	Giannina	7	1	3	3	-2	6
11	Volos NFC	7	1	3	3	-4	6
12	OFI Crete	8	1	3	4	-9	6
13	Apollon	5	1	1	3	-3	4
14	Larisa	7	0	3	4	-9	3
15	Lamia	7	0	2	5	-12	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Aris Thessalonikis	6	5	1	0	+9	16
2	Aris	6	5	1	0	+9	16
3	Olympiakos	6	4	2	0	+10	14
4	PAOK	8	3	3	2	+4	12
5	AEK	5	4	0	1	+4	12
6	Apollon	9	3	2	4	+0	11
7	Volos NFC	7	2	4	1	+0	10
8	OFI Crete	7	3	0	4	-1	9
9	Panathinaikos	7	2	2	3	+0	8
10	Giannina	8	2	2	4	-2	8
11	Asteras Tripolis	9	1	4	4	-5	7
12	Atromitos	6	1	3	2	-5	6
13	Panetolikos	7	0	4	3	-5	4
14	Larisa	7	1	1	5	-9	4
15	Lamia	4	0	0	4	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.