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Süper Lig
Referee: K Gençerler
Denizlispor
T U U T T
2–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Denizlispor Yeni Malatyaspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,3
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
0,3
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-1,2
This season — Süper Lig · 23/22 matches
Win Ø 27%
26%
27%
Points per game
1,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
35%
59%
Both score Ø 49%
43%
55%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
0,9
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%
24 Shots 2
11 Shots on target 0
8 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 9
12 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 23
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Denizlispor 13. · Yeni Malatyaspor 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 23 14 6 3 +29 48
2 Buyuksehyr 23 13 7 3 +20 46
3 Galatasaray 23 13 6 4 +21 45
4 Sivasspor 23 13 6 4 +16 45
5 Besiktas 24 12 4 8 +7 40
6 Alanyaspor 24 11 6 7 +18 39
7 Fenerbahce 24 11 6 7 +13 39
8 Goztep 22 9 7 6 +5 34
9 Gaziantep 23 8 7 8 -2 31
10 Genclerbirligi 23 7 6 10 -7 27
11 Antalyaspor 24 6 8 10 -15 26
12 Yeni Malatyaspor 22 6 6 10 +3 24
13 Denizlispor 23 6 6 11 -11 24
14 Rizespor 23 7 3 13 -15 24
15 Konyaspor 24 4 10 10 -13 22
16 Kasimpasa 24 5 5 14 -18 20
17 Ankaragücü 23 4 8 11 -19 20
18 Kayserispor 23 3 7 13 -32 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Denizlispor Yeni Malatyaspor
18′
🟨 Robin Yalçın
1–0 M. Yumlu
34′
38′
🟨 Arturo Mina
45′
🟥 Teenage Hadebe
Half-time 1–0
Ö. Çek 🔁
↦ H. Sacko
46′
46′
🔁 V. Kjartansson
↦ G. Töre
46′
🔁 Ö. Özdemir
↦ M. Donald
O. Onazi 🔁
↦ I. Aissati
58′
H. Rodallega 🔁
↦ O. Estupiñán
68′
2–0 Modou Barrow
H. Rodallega
75′
77′
🔁 Y. Ndayishimiye
↦ M. Fofana
83′
🟨 Youssouf Ndayishimiye
90′
🟨 Murat Yildirim
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Denizlispor

4-2-3-1
33 A. Stachowiak G
5 M. Yumlu D
61 Z. Yavru D
15 O. Yılmaz D
10 I. Aissati M
70 O. Şahan D
20 R. Niyaz M
8 R. Murawski M
77 Modou Barrow M
9 H. Sacko M
19 O. Estupiñán F
Bench (9)
60 Ö. Çek
23 O. Onazi
7 H. Rodallega
55 S. Ben Youssef
11 S. Şahintürk
25 T. Acar
44 A. Kalkan
3 M. Özkal
1 H. Altıntaş

Coach: B. Uygun

Yeni Malatyaspor

4-2-3-1
30 F. Farnolle G
44 A. Mina D
45 Karim Hafez D
16 T. Hadebe D
8 M. Yıldırım M
20 M. Donald M
7 G. Töre M
19 A. Acquah M
6 R. Yalçın D
9 U. Bulut F
21 M. Fofana M
Bench (10)
24 V. Kjartansson
76 Ö. Özdemir
55 Y. Ndayishimiye
35 U. Ceylan
53 Y. Güveli
14 A. Ildız
25 G. Chalali
3 E. Kaş
15 M. Akbaş
91 S. Aytaç

Coach: K. Özdeş

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,36
U
3,42
B
2,82
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,86
U2,5 ✓
1,91
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.