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Bundesliga

Referee: A Kijas

SK Rapid

S U S S U

3–1

Full-time

Mattersburg

U T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

SK Rapid Mattersburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

2,3

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 38%

50%

25%

Points per game

1,8

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

65%

75%

Both score Ø 60%

55%

65%

Average goals

3,3

3,7

Scored

2,1

1,3

Conceded

1,2

2,4

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%

19 Shots 13

8 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 6

6 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match SK Rapid 3. · Mattersburg 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	20	15	3	2	+25	48
2	Salzburg	20	13	6	1	+47	45
3	SK Rapid	20	10	6	4	+19	36
4	Wolfsberger AC	20	10	4	6	+19	34
5	Sturm Graz	20	9	4	7	+11	31
6	Hartberg	20	8	5	7	-7	29
7	Austria Vienna	20	5	8	7	-3	23
8	Altach	20	6	3	11	-9	21
9	Mattersburg	20	5	3	12	-23	18
10	St. Polten	20	3	7	10	-29	16
11	Admira	20	3	6	11	-23	15
12	Tirol	20	4	3	13	-27	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	10	8	1	1	+29	25
2	LASK	10	5	3	2	+8	18
3	Hartberg	10	5	3	2	+5	18
4	Wolfsberger AC	10	5	2	3	+12	17
5	Austria Vienna	10	4	3	3	+3	15
6	SK Rapid	10	3	4	3	+4	13
7	Sturm Graz	10	4	1	5	+1	13
8	Altach	10	3	2	5	-2	11
9	St. Polten	10	1	4	5	-14	7
10	Tirol	10	2	1	7	-15	7
11	Admira	10	1	3	6	-10	6
12	Mattersburg	10	1	2	7	-14	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	10	10	0	0	+17	30
2	SK Rapid	10	7	2	1	+15	23
3	Salzburg	10	5	5	0	+18	20
4	Sturm Graz	10	5	3	2	+10	18
5	Wolfsberger AC	10	5	2	3	+7	17
6	Mattersburg	10	4	1	5	-9	13
7	Hartberg	10	3	2	5	-12	11
8	Altach	10	3	1	6	-7	10
9	Admira	10	2	3	5	-13	9
10	St. Polten	10	2	3	5	-15	9
11	Austria Vienna	10	1	5	4	-6	8
12	Tirol	10	2	2	6	-12	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.