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Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce
S S U U T
1–2
Full-time
Lechia Gdansk
T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Korona Kielce Lechia Gdansk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 9%
0%
17%
Average goals
0,8
2,5
Scored
0,3
0,8
Conceded
0,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,8
This season — Ekstraklasa · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 33%
26%
39%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
22%
48%
Both score Ø 35%
17%
52%
Average goals
1,7
2,3
Scored
0,5
1,1
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Korona Kielce 15. · Lechia Gdansk 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Legia 24 15 3 6 +27 48
2 Cracovia 24 13 3 8 +13 42
3 Pogon Szczecin 24 11 7 6 +5 40
4 Slask Wroclaw 23 10 9 4 +7 39
5 Lech Poznan 24 10 8 6 +17 38
6 Piast Gliwice 24 11 4 9 +1 37
7 Lechia Gdansk 23 9 7 7 +0 34
8 Wisla Plock 24 9 6 9 -8 33
9 Rakow 24 10 2 12 -7 32
10 Jagiellonia 24 8 7 9 -2 31
11 Gornik Zabrze 24 7 9 8 +0 30
12 Zaglebie 23 8 5 10 +0 29
13 Wisla 24 8 3 13 -7 27
14 Arka Gdynia 23 6 6 11 -13 24
15 Korona Kielce 23 6 5 12 -14 23
16 LKS Lodz 23 4 4 15 -19 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.