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2. Bundesliga

St Pauli

T U T U S

3–1

Full-time

Osnabruck

T U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Pauli Osnabruck

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,8

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 28%

26%

30%

Points per game

1,1

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

43%

Both score Ø 50%

57%

43%

Average goals

2,5

2,4

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

13 Shots 23

5 Shots on target 6

5 Corners 10

18 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Pauli 13. · Osnabruck 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bielefeld	23	13	8	2	+25	47
2	Stuttgart	24	13	5	6	+13	44
3	Hamburg	24	11	8	5	+19	41
4	Heidenheim	24	10	8	6	+6	38
5	Greuther Furth	24	10	5	9	+4	35
6	Darmstadt	24	8	11	5	+0	35
7	Erzgebirge Aue	24	9	7	8	+1	34
8	Holstein Kiel	23	9	6	8	+2	33
9	Regensburg	24	9	5	10	-5	32
10	Osnabruck	23	7	8	8	+3	29
11	Nurnberg	24	7	8	9	-8	29
12	Sandhausen	23	6	9	8	-3	27
13	St Pauli	23	6	8	9	-1	26
14	Bochum	23	6	8	9	-5	26
15	Hannover	23	6	8	9	-8	26
16	Karlsruhe	24	5	9	10	-11	24
17	Wehen	23	5	7	11	-15	22
18	Dresden	24	5	6	13	-17	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stuttgart	12	10	0	2	+18	30
2	Erzgebirge Aue	12	8	3	1	+13	27
3	Hamburg	11	8	1	2	+17	25
4	Heidenheim	12	6	4	2	+9	22
5	Greuther Furth	12	7	1	4	+4	22
6	Bielefeld	11	5	5	1	+11	20
7	Regensburg	12	6	2	4	+2	20
8	St Pauli	12	5	4	3	+6	19
9	Darmstadt	12	4	7	1	+4	19
10	Osnabruck	12	5	3	4	+6	18
11	Sandhausen	12	4	5	3	+0	17
12	Bochum	12	3	6	3	+1	15
13	Dresden	12	4	2	6	-3	14
14	Nurnberg	12	3	5	4	-6	14
15	Holstein Kiel	11	3	4	4	-2	13
16	Karlsruhe	12	3	4	5	-4	13
17	Hannover	11	1	7	3	-6	10
18	Wehen	12	2	4	6	-13	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bielefeld	12	8	3	1	+14	27
2	Holstein Kiel	12	6	2	4	+4	20
3	Hamburg	13	3	7	3	+2	16
4	Hannover	12	5	1	6	-2	16
5	Heidenheim	12	4	4	4	-3	16
6	Darmstadt	12	4	4	4	-4	16
7	Nurnberg	12	4	3	5	-2	15
8	Stuttgart	12	3	5	4	-5	14
9	Greuther Furth	12	3	4	5	+0	13
10	Wehen	11	3	3	5	-2	12
11	Regensburg	12	3	3	6	-7	12
12	Osnabruck	11	2	5	4	-3	11
13	Bochum	11	3	2	6	-6	11
14	Karlsruhe	12	2	5	5	-7	11
15	Sandhausen	11	2	4	5	-3	10
16	St Pauli	11	1	4	6	-7	7
17	Erzgebirge Aue	12	1	4	7	-12	7
18	Dresden	12	1	4	7	-14	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.