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Super League
Referee: G Tzovaras
Olympiakos
S U S S S
4–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos Aris Thessalonikis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
3,0
1,8
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+0,7
This season — Super League · 20/18 matches
Win Ø 54%
75%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
45%
50%
Both score Ø 51%
40%
61%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
2,2
1,6
Conceded
0,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

9 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 3
6 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Olympiakos 1. · Aris Thessalonikis 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 20 15 5 0 +34 50
2 PAOK 21 14 5 2 +21 47
3 AEK 20 10 5 5 +12 35
4 OFI Crete 21 9 3 9 +6 30
5 Panathinaikos 21 7 8 6 -3 29
6 Atromitos 20 7 6 7 +0 27
7 Larisa 21 7 6 8 -4 27
8 Aris Thessalonikis 18 6 8 4 +9 26
9 Aris 19 6 8 5 +7 26
10 Xanthi 20 8 2 10 -8 26
11 Volos NFC 21 7 4 10 -16 25
12 Lamia 20 5 9 6 -9 24
13 Asteras Tripolis 20 5 3 12 -6 18
14 Panionios 20 3 4 13 -21 13
15 Panetolikos 20 1 6 13 -22 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Olympiakos Aris Thessalonikis
Andreas Bouchalakis 🟨
20′
1–0 Guilherme
22′
2–0 Y. El-Arabi
24′
Mady Camara 🟨
28′
37′
L. Rose 2–1
D. Mancini
3–1 O. Elabdellaoui
M. Valbuena
44′
45′
🟨 Daniel Mancini
Half-time 3–1
46′
🔁 N. Diguiny
↦ B. Ideye
59′
🟨 Nicolas Diguiny
61′
🟨 Fran Vélez
4–1 M. Valbuena
63′
65′
🔁 N. Martínez
↦ I. Fetfatzidis
65′
🔁 Hugo Sousa
↦ Fran Vélez
M. Lovera 🔁
↦ M. Valbuena
70′
80′
🟨 Mihály Korhut
E. Soudani 🔁
↦ Y. El-Arabi
80′
83′
N. Diguiny 4–2
D. Larsson
L. Christodoulopoulos 🔁
↦ Guilherme
84′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Olympiakos

4-3-3
1 José Sá G
14 O. Elabdellaoui D
3 Rúben Semedo D
21 K. Tsimikas D
24 O. Ba
28 M. Valbuena M
8 Guilherme M
5 A. Bouchalakis M
19 G. Masouras M
4 M. Camara M
11 Y. El-Arabi F
Bench (7)
22 M. Lovera
2 E. Soudani
77 L. Christodoulopoulos
66 P. Cissé
76 Bruno Gaspar
9 Guerrero
16 B. Allain

Coach: Pedro Martins

Aris Thessalonikis

4-2-3-1
1 F. Ehmann G
69 M. Korhut D
92 L. Rose D
44 Fran Vélez D
5 G. Delizisis D
26 Matilla M
28 I. Fetfatzidis M
24 D. Mancini M
98 A. Ba M
10 D. Larsson M
11 B. Ideye F
Bench (7)
7 N. Diguiny
18 N. Martínez
3 Hugo Sousa
38 P. Bakoutsis
21 D. Sundgren
40 P. Bagalianis
75 A. Tsilingiris

Coach: M. Oenning

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Tzovaras · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
33,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.