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Eredivisie

Referee: Allard Lindhout

Ajax

S S T T S

2–1

Full-time

Sparta Rotterdam

S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Sparta Rotterdam

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

4,3

2,3

Scored

3,2

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-0,3

This season — Eredivisie · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 56%

78%

33%

Points per game

2,4

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 72%

72%

Both score Ø 56%

56%

Average goals

4,1

3,2

Scored

3,2

1,5

Conceded

0,9

1,7

Goal diff per game

+2,3

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

73% Possession 27%

23 Shots 19

8 Shots on target 7

7 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 6

9 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 1. · Sparta Rotterdam 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	18	14	2	2	+42	44
2	AZ Alkmaar	19	13	2	4	+26	41
3	Willem II	19	11	3	5	+7	36
4	PSV Eindhoven	19	10	5	4	+19	35
5	Feyenoord	19	9	7	3	+7	34
6	Vitesse	19	10	3	6	+10	33
7	Utrecht	19	9	3	7	+8	30
8	Heerenveen	19	7	7	5	+5	28
9	Heracles	18	7	5	6	+5	26
10	Groningen	19	7	5	7	+3	26
11	Sparta Rotterdam	18	6	5	7	-3	23
12	Twente	19	5	5	9	-11	20
13	For Sittard	19	5	4	10	-21	19
14	FC Emmen	18	5	3	10	-14	18
15	Zwolle	19	5	2	12	-17	17
16	VVV Venlo	19	5	1	13	-27	16
17	Den Haag	18	3	4	11	-18	13
18	Waalwijk	18	3	2	13	-21	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	9	8	0	1	+29	24
2	PSV Eindhoven	9	7	1	1	+17	22
3	AZ Alkmaar	10	7	1	2	+14	22
4	Feyenoord	10	6	3	1	+8	21
5	Sparta Rotterdam	9	5	2	2	+9	17
6	Vitesse	9	5	2	2	+7	17
7	FC Emmen	9	5	2	2	+6	17
8	Willem II	9	5	2	2	+5	17
9	For Sittard	10	5	2	3	+4	17
10	Heracles	9	5	1	3	+10	16
11	Groningen	9	5	1	3	+7	16
12	Utrecht	9	5	0	4	+9	15
13	Heerenveen	10	3	6	1	+2	15
14	VVV Venlo	10	4	1	5	-8	13
15	Twente	10	3	3	4	-2	12
16	Zwolle	9	3	2	4	-3	11
17	Den Haag	9	1	4	4	-5	7
18	Waalwijk	9	2	1	6	-6	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	9	6	2	1	+13	20
2	AZ Alkmaar	9	6	1	2	+12	19
3	Willem II	10	6	1	3	+2	19
4	Vitesse	10	5	1	4	+3	16
5	Utrecht	10	4	3	3	-1	15
6	Heerenveen	9	4	1	4	+3	13
7	PSV Eindhoven	10	3	4	3	+2	13
8	Feyenoord	9	3	4	2	-1	13
9	Groningen	10	2	4	4	-4	10
10	Heracles	9	2	4	3	-5	10
11	Twente	9	2	2	5	-9	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	9	1	3	5	-12	6
13	Den Haag	9	2	0	7	-13	6
14	Zwolle	10	2	0	8	-14	6
15	Waalwijk	9	1	1	7	-15	4
16	VVV Venlo	9	1	0	8	-19	3
17	For Sittard	9	0	2	7	-25	2
18	FC Emmen	9	0	1	8	-20	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.