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Pro League
Referee: Alexandre Boucaut
Waregem
S T S T T
0–3
Full-time
Genk
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,8
This season — Pro League · 23/25 matches
Win Ø 46%
43%
48%
Points per game
1,5
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
48%
68%
Both score Ø 52%
39%
64%
Average goals
2,9
3,1
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

9 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 7
6 Corners 4
12 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Waregem 8. · Genk 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 24 19 4 1 +43 61
2 Charleroi 25 14 8 3 +25 50
3 Gent 25 14 6 5 +22 48
4 Antwerp 25 14 6 5 +20 48
5 Standard 26 13 6 7 +19 45
6 Genk 25 12 5 8 +10 41
7 Mechelen 25 12 5 8 +2 41
8 Waregem 23 10 5 8 +4 35
9 Anderlecht 24 6 11 7 +1 29
10 Mouscron 22 6 9 7 -1 27
11 Royal Excel Mouscron 22 6 9 7 -1 27
12 St Truiden 25 7 6 12 -16 27
13 Kortrijk 25 6 4 15 -13 22
14 Eupen 24 5 6 13 -19 21
15 Waasland-Beveren 22 5 5 12 -23 20
16 Beveren 22 5 5 12 -23 20
17 Oostende 25 5 4 16 -23 19
18 Cercle Brugge 25 4 4 17 -27 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waregem Genk
23′
K. Thorstvedt 0–1
Half-time 0–1
50′
🟨 Joakim Maehle
55′
J. Ito 0–2
61′
🔁 J. Lucumí
↦ S. Berge
63′
T. Bongonda 0–3
G. Coucke
L. Zarandia 🔁
↦ D. Marcq
67′
H. Bjørdal 🔁
↦ C. Larin
67′
70′
🟨 Theo Bongonda
72′
🔁 J. Paintsil
↦ K. Thorstvedt
82′
🔁 B. Limbombe
↦ J. Uronen
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Waregem

4-4-2
1 S. Bossut G
2 D. De fauw D
45 O. Deschacht D
23 M. Bürki D
24 E. Pletinckx D
5 D. Marcq M
21 I. Seck M
10 O. Govea M
19 G. Bruno F
38 S. Berahino F
9 C. Larin F
Bench (7)
7 L. Zarandia
20 H. Bjørdal
27 D. Oberlin
14 S. Walsh
6 A. Sissako
3 M. Baudry
44 E. Bansen

Coach: F. Dury

Genk

4-2-3-1
28 G. Coucke G
6 S. Dewaest D
21 J. Uronen D
46 C. Cuesta D
31 J. Mæhle M
4 D. Wouters D
25 S. Berge M
42 K. Thorstvedt M
18 P. Onuachu F
27 T. Bongonda M
7 J. Ito
Bench (7)
33 J. Lucumí
11 J. Paintsil
22 B. Limbombe
23 I. Hagi
2 C. De Norre
15 S. Odey
40 S. Bastiaens

Coach: H. Wolf

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,10
U
3,41
B ✓
2,22
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,65
U2,5
2,19
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Alexandre Boucaut · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.