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Eredivisie
Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie
VVV Venlo
S T S T T
1–1
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

VVV Venlo PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
1,0
2,3
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 42%
28%
56%
Points per game
0,8
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 78%
78%
78%
Both score Ø 62%
56%
67%
Average goals
3,4
3,6
Scored
0,9
2,3
Conceded
2,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

36% Possession 64%
12 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 8
0 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match VVV Venlo 16. · PSV Eindhoven 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 18 14 2 2 +42 44
2 AZ Alkmaar 19 13 2 4 +26 41
3 Willem II 19 11 3 5 +7 36
4 PSV Eindhoven 18 10 4 4 +19 34
5 Feyenoord 19 9 7 3 +7 34
6 Vitesse 19 10 3 6 +10 33
7 Utrecht 19 9 3 7 +8 30
8 Heerenveen 19 7 7 5 +5 28
9 Heracles 18 7 5 6 +5 26
10 Groningen 19 7 5 7 +3 26
11 Sparta Rotterdam 18 6 5 7 -3 23
12 Twente 19 5 5 9 -11 20
13 For Sittard 19 5 4 10 -21 19
14 FC Emmen 18 5 3 10 -14 18
15 Zwolle 19 5 2 12 -17 17
16 VVV Venlo 18 5 0 13 -27 15
17 Den Haag 18 3 4 11 -18 13
18 Waalwijk 18 3 2 13 -21 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

VVV Venlo PSV Eindhoven
S. Janssen 🔁
↦ E. Linthorst
21′
Half-time 0–0
62′
🔁 J. Hendrix
↦ C. Gakpo
1–0 J. Opoku
68′
73′
🔁 C. Madueke
↦ Bruma
H. Wright 🔁
↦ J. Sinclair
85′
92′
D. Dumfries 1–1
R. Thomas
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

VVV Venlo

4-3-3
1 T. Kirschbaum G
14 C. Kum D
4 R. Janssen D
13 N. Röseler D
2 T. Pachonik D
31 L. Cattermole M
10 J. Opoku F
8 P. van Ooijen M
21 E. Linthorst M
15 J. Sinclair F
29 O. Darfalou F
Bench (12)
24 S. Janssen
7 H. Wright
16 D. van Crooij
18 S. Scheimann
11 R. Neudecker
23 Y. Roemer
17 T. Dekker
5 S. Schäfer
26 S. van Dijck
9 E. Soriano
19 J. Yeboah
22 B. Verbong

Coach: H. de Koning

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
13 L. Unnerstall G
6 D. Schwaab D
5 T. Baumgartl D
28 O. Boscagli D
22 D. Dumfries D
30 R. Thomas M
18 P. Rosario M
24 M. Ihattaren M
7 Bruma F
10 S. Bergwijn F
19 C. Gakpo F
Bench (8)
8 J. Hendrix
56 C. Madueke
33 J. Teze
15 É. Gutiérrez
17 I. Afellay
21 R. Ruiter
25 R. Doan
61 Y. Roulaux

Coach: E. Faber

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
7,02
U ✓
4,66
B
1,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,50
U2,5 ✓
2,54
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Danny Desmond Makkelie · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.