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Eredivisie
Referee: Joey Kooij
FC Emmen
U U T S T
1–0
Full-time
Heracles
T S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Emmen Heracles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,7
Scored
0,7
2,2
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 34%
28%
39%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
56%
50%
Both score Ø 53%
50%
56%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,1
1,7
Conceded
1,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
13 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 3
0 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match FC Emmen 14. · Heracles 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 18 14 2 2 +42 44
2 AZ Alkmaar 19 13 2 4 +26 41
3 Willem II 19 11 3 5 +7 36
4 PSV Eindhoven 19 10 5 4 +19 35
5 Feyenoord 19 9 7 3 +7 34
6 Vitesse 19 10 3 6 +10 33
7 Utrecht 19 9 3 7 +8 30
8 Heerenveen 19 7 7 5 +5 28
9 Heracles 18 7 5 6 +5 26
10 Groningen 19 7 5 7 +3 26
11 Sparta Rotterdam 18 6 5 7 -3 23
12 Twente 19 5 5 9 -11 20
13 For Sittard 19 5 4 10 -21 19
14 FC Emmen 18 5 3 10 -14 18
15 Zwolle 19 5 2 12 -17 17
16 VVV Venlo 19 5 1 13 -27 16
17 Den Haag 18 3 4 11 -18 13
18 Waalwijk 18 3 2 13 -21 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Emmen Heracles
Glenn Bijl 🟨
11′
42′
🔁 Mohammed Osman
↦ D. Van den Buijs
Half-time 1–0
1–0 M. Kolar
L. Burnet
48′
61′
🟨 Alexander Merkel
72′
🔁 J. Cijntje
↦ D. dos Santos
N. Laursen 🔁
↦ M. Kolar
75′
Michael De Leeuw 🟨
80′
Michael Chacon 🟨
81′
82′
🔁 T. Bijleveld
↦ J. Konings
R. de Vos 🔁
↦ L. Slagveer
84′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

FC Emmen

4-2-3-1
26 D. Telgenkamp G
28 L. Burnet D
5 M. Araujo D
3 K. Veendorp D
23 G. Bijl D
15 T. Hiariej M
8 M. de Leeuw F
20 M. Chacón M
17 S. Peña M
9 M. Kolar M
29 L. Slagveer M
Bench (10)
11 N. Laursen
32 R. de Vos
25 J. Arias
16 B. Haak
14 F. Görgülü
93 S. van der Lei
18 R. Roosken
21 F. Ugrinic
36 H. Ben Moussa
12 F. Quispel

Coach: D. Lukkien

Heracles

4-2-3-1
1 J. Blaswich G
2 T. Breukers D
6 D. Van den Buijs D
13 M. Knoester D
3 L. Czyborra D
52 A. Merkel M
10 Mauro Júnior M
22 O. Kiomourtzoglou M
24 D. dos Santos M
9 C. Dessers F
25 J. Konings M
Bench (10)
14 Mohammed Osman
7 J. Cijntje
8 T. Bijleveld
15 L. Schoofs
34 J. Hardeveld
23 M. Rossmann
26 K. Bucker
21 S. Jakubiak
16 M. Brouwer
17 A. Szöke

Coach: F. Wormuth

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,72
U
3,71
B
2,35
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,54
U2,5 ✓
2,44
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Joey Kooij · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.