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Super League
Referee: A Diamantopoulos
3–1
Full-time
OFI Crete
T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis OFI Crete
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
This season — Super League · 26/29 matches
Win Ø 35%
31%
38%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
46%
59%
Both score Ø 59%
58%
59%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,4
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

41% Possession 59%
8 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 6
2 Offside 6
16 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 8. · OFI Crete 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 28 22 6 0 +47 72
2 PAOK 28 18 6 4 +25 60
3 AEK 28 16 7 5 +21 55
4 Panathinaikos 28 12 9 7 +8 45
5 OFI Crete 29 11 5 13 +0 38
6 Aris 27 9 10 8 +8 37
7 Atromitos 28 10 6 12 -4 36
8 Aris Thessalonikis 26 8 10 8 +6 34
9 Larisa 28 8 10 10 -4 34
10 Asteras Tripolis 28 8 7 13 -5 31
11 Xanthi 28 8 6 14 -13 30
12 Volos NFC 29 8 6 15 -23 30
13 Lamia 28 5 14 9 -14 29
14 Panionios 29 5 6 18 -30 21
15 Panetolikos 28 4 8 16 -22 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aris Thessalonikis OFI Crete
21′
V. Sakor 0–1
D. Manos
B. Ideye 🟨
30′
1–1 Bruno Gama
L. Rose
42′
Half-time 1–1
52′
🟨 N. Marinakis
56′
🟨 L. Semedo
56′
🔁 P. Staikos
↦ V. Sakor
D. Mancini 🔁
↦ B. Ideye
63′
65′
🔁 João Figueiredo
↦ D. Manos
2–1 Bruno Gama
73′
78′
🟨 A. Nabi
3–1 M. Korhut
I. Fetfatzidis
80′
A. Ba 🔁
↦ I. Fetfatzidis
83′
N. Martínez 🔁
↦ Bruno Gama
83′
85′
🔁 V. Nikokyrakis
↦ A. Nabi
85′
🔁 C. Braun
↦ N. Marinakis
86′
🔁 João Victor
↦ M. Mellado
M. Tonso 🔁
↦ Lucas Sasha
90′
P. Bagalianis 🔁
↦ Hugo Sousa
90′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Aris Thessalonikis

4-4-1-1
23 Julián G
69 M. Korhut D
92 L. Rose D
44 Fran Vélez D
5 G. Delizisis D
3 Hugo Sousa D
16 Bruno Gama M
28 I. Fetfatzidis M
88 Lucas Sasha M
10 D. Larsson M
11 B. Ideye F
Bench (9)
24 D. Mancini
98 A. Ba
18 N. Martínez
19 M. Tonso
40 P. Bagalianis
1 F. Ehmann
75 A. Tsilingiris
38 P. Bakoutsis
8 L. Duarte

Coach: M. Oenning

OFI Crete

4-2-3-1
1 Óscar Whalley G
18 K. Giannoulis D
5 G. Koutroumbis D
16 N. Marinakis D
4 V. Sakor M
34 N. Korovesis D
29 M. Mellado M
8 J. Neira M
9 D. Manos F
10 A. Nabi F
11 Lisandro Semedo F
Bench (9)
26 P. Staikos
20 João Figueiredo
91 V. Nikokyrakis
47 C. Braun
12 João Victor
13 N. Vafeas
41 P. Deligiannidis
32 D. Sotiriou
6 A. Nastos

Coach: G. Simos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Diamantopoulos · 73 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.