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Bundesliga
Referee: S Storks
2–2
Full-time
Hoffenheim
U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf Hoffenheim
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 31%
21%
41%
Points per game
0,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
62%
62%
Both score Ø 59%
59%
59%
Average goals
3,1
3,0
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

67% Possession 33%
23 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 5
12 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 1
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Fortuna Dusseldorf 16. · Hoffenheim 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 29 21 4 4 +58 67
2 Dortmund 29 18 6 5 +45 60
3 RB Leipzig 29 16 10 3 +43 58
4 M'gladbach 30 17 5 8 +21 56
5 Leverkusen 29 17 5 7 +18 56
6 Wolfsburg 29 11 9 9 +5 42
7 Hoffenheim 29 12 6 11 -8 42
8 Freiburg 30 11 8 11 -2 41
9 Hertha 29 10 8 11 -7 38
10 Schalke 04 29 9 10 10 -12 37
11 Ein Frankfurt 29 10 5 14 -4 35
12 FC Koln 29 10 4 15 -10 34
13 Augsburg 29 8 7 14 -16 31
14 Union Berlin 29 9 4 16 -18 31
15 Mainz 29 8 4 17 -25 28
16 Fortuna Dusseldorf 29 6 9 14 -27 27
17 Werder Bremen 29 6 7 16 -32 25
18 Paderborn 29 4 7 18 -29 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fortuna Dusseldorf Hoffenheim
1–0 R. Hennings
K. Stoger
5′
9′
🟥 B. Hubner
16′
M. Dabbur 1–1
A. Bodzek 🟨
26′
Half-time 1–1
A. Hoffmann 🟨
46′
53′
🟨 R. Skov
61′
S. Zuber 1–2
R. Skov
62′
🔁 S. Zuber
↦ P. Kaderabek
62′
🔁 C. Baumgartner
↦ I. Bebou
M. Suttner 🟨
64′
M. Zimmermann 🔁
↦ J. Zimmer
66′
A. Hoffmann 🔁
↦ N. Giesselmann
66′
V. Berisha 🔁
↦ K. Ofori
66′
A. Bodzek 🔁
↦ A. Morales
66′
71′
🔁 M. Dabbur
↦ A. Kramaric
75′
🟨 H. Nordtveit
2–2 R. Hennings
76′
K. Karaman 🔁
↦ D. Kownacki
83′
85′
🔁 S. Posch
↦ M. Bogarde
85′
🔁 R. Skov
↦ F. Grillitsch
87′
🟨 A. Kramaric
88′
🟨 F. Grillitsch
R. Hennings 🟨
94′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Fortuna Dusseldorf

3-5-2
33 Florian Kastenmeier G
5 Kaan Ayhan D
3 Andre Hoffmann D
29 Markus Suttner D
25 Matthias Zimmermann M
22 Kevin Stöger M
13 Adam Bodzek M
10 Valon Berisha M
15 Erik Thommy M
11 Kenan Karaman F
28 Rouwen Hennings F
Bench (9)
1 Michael Rensing
39 Jean Zimmer
23 Niko Giesselmann
19 Zanka
6 Alfredo Morales
7 Oliver Fink
14 Kelvin Ofori
20 Steven Skrzybski
9 Dawid Kownacki

Coach: U. Rösler

Hoffenheim

4-2-3-1
1 Oliver Baumann G
6 Håvard Nordtveit D
38 Stefan Posch D
4 Ermin Bičakčić D
21 Benjamin Hübner D
16 Sebastian Rudy M
18 Diadie Samassekou M
29 Robert Skov M
14 Christoph Baumgartner M
17 Steven Zuber M
10 Munas Dabbur F
Bench (9)
12 Philipp Pentke
32 Melayro Bogarde
25 Kevin Akpoguma
3 Pavel Kadeřábek
8 Dennis Geiger
11 Florian Grillitsch
27 Andrej Kramarić
35 Maximilian Beier
9 Ihlas Bebou

Coach: A. Schreuder

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,77
U ✓
3,55
B
2,46
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,66
U2,5
2,22
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Storks · 54 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.