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Ekstraklasa

Zaglebie

U S T U S

3–3

Full-time

Lech Poznan

S U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaglebie Lech Poznan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,8

2,5

Scored

2,2

1,5

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

This season — Ekstraklasa · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 39%

37%

41%

Points per game

1,3

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

56%

52%

Both score Ø 58%

52%

63%

Average goals

3,1

2,6

Scored

1,6

1,7

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Zaglebie 12. · Lech Poznan 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Legia	27	17	3	7	+29	54
2	Piast Gliwice	28	15	4	9	+8	49
3	Slask Wroclaw	27	11	10	6	+5	43
4	Lech Poznan	27	11	9	7	+19	42
5	Cracovia	27	13	3	11	+9	42
6	Lechia Gdansk	28	11	9	8	+0	42
7	Jagiellonia	28	11	8	9	+1	41
8	Pogon Szczecin	27	11	8	8	+1	41
9	Gornik Zabrze	28	9	10	9	-1	37
10	Rakow	27	11	4	12	-5	37
11	Wisla Plock	28	10	7	11	-12	37
12	Zaglebie	27	10	6	11	+4	36
13	Wisla	27	9	4	14	-9	31
14	Korona Kielce	28	8	5	15	-13	29
15	Arka Gdynia	27	6	7	14	-16	25
16	LKS Lodz	27	5	5	17	-20	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Piast Gliwice	14	10	2	2	+12	32
2	Legia	14	10	1	3	+25	31
3	Gornik Zabrze	14	8	5	1	+13	29
4	Cracovia	14	9	1	4	+11	28
5	Slask Wroclaw	14	7	6	1	+5	27
6	Jagiellonia	14	7	4	3	+9	25
7	Lech Poznan	14	7	3	4	+16	24
8	Rakow	13	7	2	4	+4	23
9	Zaglebie	13	6	4	3	+9	22
10	Lechia Gdansk	14	6	4	4	+2	22
11	Wisla Plock	14	6	3	5	+0	21
12	Wisla	13	6	2	5	+8	20
13	Pogon Szczecin	13	5	3	5	+0	18
14	Korona Kielce	14	5	2	7	-1	17
15	LKS Lodz	14	4	3	7	-3	15
16	Arka Gdynia	13	3	6	4	-3	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Legia	13	7	2	4	+4	23
2	Pogon Szczecin	14	6	5	3	+1	23
3	Lechia Gdansk	14	5	5	4	-2	20
4	Lech Poznan	13	4	6	3	+3	18
5	Piast Gliwice	14	5	2	7	-4	17
6	Slask Wroclaw	13	4	4	5	+0	16
7	Jagiellonia	14	4	4	6	-8	16
8	Wisla Plock	14	4	4	6	-12	16
9	Cracovia	13	4	2	7	-2	14
10	Zaglebie	14	4	2	8	-5	14
11	Rakow	14	4	2	8	-9	14
12	Korona Kielce	14	3	3	8	-12	12
13	Wisla	14	3	2	9	-17	11
14	Arka Gdynia	14	3	1	10	-13	10
15	Gornik Zabrze	14	1	5	8	-14	8
16	LKS Lodz	13	1	2	10	-17	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.