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Süper Lig

Referee: A Palabıyık

Galatasaray

T U S

1–0

Full-time

Kasimpasa

U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Galatasaray Kasimpasa

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

1,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,3

This season — Süper Lig · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

1,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%

15 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 5

2 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Galatasaray 9. · Kasimpasa 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alanyaspor	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Fenerbahce	3	2	1	0	+6	7
3	Denizlispor	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Rizespor	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Trabzonspor	3	1	2	0	+1	5
6	Ankaragücü	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Sivasspor	3	1	1	1	+2	4
8	Besiktas	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Galatasaray	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Antalyaspor	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Gaziantep	3	1	1	1	-2	4
12	Yeni Malatyaspor	3	1	0	2	+1	3
13	Konyaspor	3	0	3	0	+0	3
14	Buyuksehyr	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	Kayserispor	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Kasimpasa	3	0	1	2	-4	1
17	Goztep	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Genclerbirligi	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	2	1	1	0	+5	4
2	Sivasspor	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Besiktas	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Alanyaspor	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Gaziantep	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Yeni Malatyaspor	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	Denizlispor	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Rizespor	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Trabzonspor	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Konyaspor	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Ankaragücü	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Galatasaray	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Kasimpasa	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Goztep	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Buyuksehyr	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Kayserispor	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Genclerbirligi	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Antalyaspor	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alanyaspor	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Denizlispor	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Antalyaspor	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Rizespor	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Ankaragücü	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Fenerbahce	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Galatasaray	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	Buyuksehyr	2	1	0	1	-2	3
9	Trabzonspor	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Kayserispor	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Konyaspor	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Gaziantep	2	0	1	1	-5	1
13	Sivasspor	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Yeni Malatyaspor	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Kasimpasa	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Genclerbirligi	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Besiktas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Goztep	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.